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Top MLB Bet for June 10th

by June 10, 2019

Our top MLB Bet for June 10th is an interleague affair. Interleague matchups are always fun, but never more so when they feature two teams from the same city. While derbies are nowhere near what they are in international soccer, they still provide a lot of excitement for the local fans. Unfortunately for the home team, the visitors are sending one of, if not the, hottest pitchers in baseball to the mound. Not only that, but the visiting team has a better road record than the home team has in their own stadium. The odds for this contest have already seen some major movement, so lock this one in as soon as possible to avoid disappointment.

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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels

Team Record Power Ranking Runs Scored Differential
Los Angeles Dodgers 45-21 2 5.28 +109
Los Angeles Angels 31-35 21 5.06 -5

 

Pitcher Record ERA WHIP
Hyun Jin-Ryu 9-1 1.35 0.78
Griffin Canning 2-2 3.52 1.02

 
Form
The Los Angeles Dodgers are set to do battle with their crosstown rivals in an interleague affair against the Los Angeles Angels. The Dodgers have been elite this season. They are holders of the best record in baseball. They are the only team in both the top five in runs scored per game and team ERA. Winners of 19 of their last 24 games, the Dodgers will look to continue their hot start against the team 28 miles due southeast. The Dodgers are a sparkling 20-14 on the road, a mark that ties them for the fourth best in the league.

The Angels have had a truly up and down season. They have shown some flashes, but continue to give up too many runs to be consistently competitive. They have scored over five runs per game, but still have a -5 run differential. The Angels sit at 31-35, a record that sees them in fourth place in the AL West. The Angels have lost five of their last seven, but won seven of nine before that. They sit just under .500 with a 17-18 home record on the season. In the battle for L.A., the Dodgers come into this series in better team form.

The Los Angeles Dodgers will be sending the scintillating Hyun Jin-Ryu to the mound. The Angels will be countering with impressive rookie Griffin Canning. Ryu has always been impressive when he has managed to stay healthy, but in 2019 he is pitching at a Cy Young level. He has nine wins in 12 starts and holds an incredible 1.35 ERA and 0.78 WHIP. The Dodgers have won his last six starts. Ryu has allowed two runs or less in each of his starts and has allowed zero runs in five of his last six starts. He has been better at home this season but has still been in all-star form on the road. He has a 3-1 record with a 1.78 ERA and 0.93 WHIP away from Dodger Stadium.

Griffin Canning has been impressive through seven starts in his rookie season. He holds a solid 2-2 record with a 3.52 ERA and a top-tier 1.02 WHIP. He has allowed two runs or less in four of his starts. Canning has, however, yet to face a truly tough test this season. He is 1-1 through four home starts where he holds a solid 3.22 ERA and an elite 0.98 WHIP. Ryu has been in better form this season. The Dodgers hold the edge in both team and pitching form.

Edge: Los Angeles Dodgers

Trends
There are some intriguing trends for this matchup despite the contrasting profiles of the two teams involved. There are a lack of Canning trends as he is a rookie pitcher who will be playing in only his eighth game. The Dodgers have won 13 of their last 16 interleague games against teams with losing records. They have won four of their last five against the AL West. They have won 43 of their last 60 outings against a pitcher with a sub 1.15 WHIP. The Dodgers have won six of their last seven interleague road games against teams with a losing record. Finally, they have won five of their last six road games against a right-handed starter. However, they have somehow managed to drop five of their last seven interleague games.

The Angels have won four straight games against pitchers with a sub 1.15 WHIP. They have also managed to win five of their last six interleague home games against teams with a winning record. They have won six of their last eight interleague home games against left-handed starting pitchers. Finally, they have won 20 of their last 28 interleague home games. However, they have managed to lose eight of their last 11 home games against teams with winning road records. They have dropped nine of their last 11 home games against lefties, and have dropped six of their last seven series openers. They have lost five of their last six Monday games. Finally, they have lost their last four interleague games against a left-handed starting pitcher.

The Dodgers have been on a roll in Ryu’s recent starts. They have won his last six starts, and five of his last six series openers. They have won 19 of his last 27 road starts against teams with losing records. Finally, they have won six of his last eight starts on five days of rest. As mentioned there are no Griffin Canning trends to analyze at this point of his career. The Dodgers hold the edge in both pitching and team trends.

Edge: Los Angeles Dodgers

Line
The line for this contest has already seen some drastic movement. The line on the Dodgers started as low as -170 and has already jumped to -182, and -186 at PointsBet. The Angels started out at +134 and have already skyrocketed to +160. The line movement here helps remind us why it is usually preferable to bet as early as possible when playing favorites. The Dodgers have a huge edge in this contest, and the line movement is quickly evaporating the value they presented in a road start with arguably the hottest pitcher in baseball on the mound.

The line started out low due to the fact that the Dodgers have lost five of their last seven in Anaheim, and the fact that the Angels have an impressive wild card rookie toeing the rubber. However, the sharps and early bettors were having none of it, and quickly caused some major movement on both the Dodgers moneyline and the over. Lock this one as soon as you read this as the odds could move to -200 by game time.

Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers (-186)

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Raju Byfield is a featured writer at BettingPros. Raju currently sits at 22-16-2 on the season. For more from Raju, check out his archive, and follow him @FantasyContext.