The WNBA is in full steam and we are back with more best bets for the day’s slate. Today's slate features four matchups highlighted by the Seattle Storm at the Minnesota Lynx, two 7-3 teams with a single possession spread is enticing. Other games – like the winless Washington Mystics and the New York Liberty – might not be as exciting. It's been a solid season with a lot of storylines, leading the way with the loaded rookie class. When betting, monitor any news and shop around for the best odds. This is the best way to get ahead of the books. The difference between -110 and -120 may not seem big, but it's a big difference throughout an entire season. Either way, let's get to my favorite bets of the day.
Last Time: 3-1 | Season: 4-4
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WNBA Best Bet Odds & Picks: Sunday (6/9)
(All odds via DraftKings Sportsbook)
Washington Mystics at New York Liberty
Despite this game being a 13.5-point spread, it's still not the biggest spread on the slate. Even though it's a big number to cover, it shouldn't be a problem for these Liberty. Not only is it the most efficient offense in the league against the worst, but their splits are even more in favor of New York playing in the Barclays Center. On the road, Washington is a clean 0-6 with the second-worst defense in the league. At home, New York's defense gets a boost with their offense continuing to improve. The Liberty are coming off handing Connecticut their first loss of their season and their most recent home game featured a 104-68 blowout win over the Indiana Fever. Washington is in that same caliber of teams that New York can trounce and I expect that to happen here tonight. It's a big spread, but not big enough.
WNBA Pick: Liberty -13.5 (-110)
Phoenix Mercury at Dallas Wings
If there’s a game that I expect to have a high volatility in scoring, it's this one. Officially, I'm going under the team line set at 83.5 points, but you could either go under an alt line of 80.5 or over an alt line of 86. I say this because Phoenix lives and dies by the three, on both sides of the ball. Not only do they shoot the highest number of perimeter looks but they allow the most as well. What's going against Dallas here is that Arike Ogunbowale is the only player on the team who attempts over three a game with the Wings actually ranking second to last in the W in three-point attempts and percentage of points coming from beyond the arc. So despite Phoenix's 11th-ranked defensive efficiency, I expect Dallas to struggle with running their sets and playing the game they want to play. Dallas is at home but they are 4-1 ATS on the road compared to 1-2 ATS at home, so it's not like they get a big boost by playing in Dallas. In general, Ogunbowale should get hers but I don't see much scoring across the board tonight and I expect Phoenix to win, in case you care for a little SGP sprinkle.
WNBA Pick: Wings Under 83.5 Points (-120)
Seattle Storm at Minnesota Lynx
Two of the best three defenses go head to head in Minnesota, a team that is 11th in pace-of-play, and the total is set at 162.5? Insanity. The Lynx are 5-4 against the Over/Under on the season with Seattle going 4-5 so there isn't much to say for trends. Minnesota is the single best team at defending the perimeter, allowing just six field goals from deep a game this year. Seattle is close behind with 7.0 allowed a game, where Minnesota ranks second in percentage of points coming from the arc. The Lynx have been stellar ATS this year with an 8-1 overall record but Seattle has come to play with a 4-1 ATS road record so I'm not certain about the spread. What I do trust is how dominant these defenses are and how Minnesota – the better of the two offenses – won't get many second-chance looks with Seattle's prowess on the defensive glass. I'm going Under all the way.
WNBA Pick: Under 162.5 Total Points (-110)
