It's another exciting Friday of WNBA action. There are four games on the schedule, which means plenty of exciting matchups and interesting sides to bet. Let's take a look at a few of the matchups for our top WNBA picks.
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Friday’s Best WNBA Picks & Predictions
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
Las Vegas Aces at Connecticut Sun
The Aces and Sun will battle for the second straight game. On Wednesday, the Aces stomped Connecticut to the tune of a 98-69 beatdown. The Aces held the Sun to just 32.9% shooting from the field, including 23.1% from deep. They also dominated the boards, 46-29. The total for this contest was set to 172.5, and that proved to be too high.
With only 167 points scored in the first meeting, the sportsbooks have adjusted tonight’s total to 170.5 points. That is still too high. The Aces had a phenomenal offensive game. They shot 54.2% from the field and 31.3% from deep. Both of these were season-high marks for Las Vegas. We can expect a little bit of regression on Friday as the Sun looks to mix things up a little differently defensively.
Connecticut’s offense is putrid, so their performance was not unexpected, but one aspect of the boxscore that did stand out was that they attempted more free throws than the Aces. This isn't a terrible surprise. The Aces are dead last in free-throw attempts per field-goal attempts in the early part of the season. If the Sun can keep the Aces away from the charity strip, we should see an even lower-scoring game in the rematch, which means betting on the under.
Pick: Under 170.5 Points (-110)
Washington Mystics at Indiana Fever
The Mystics head to Indiana to take on the Fever, and this spread is verging on double-digits. However, that feels like the Fever are being priced too high. It is admittedly still early in the season, but the Fever are only about 4.5 points ahead of the Mystics in NET Rating.
One reason for this is that the Mystics are a phenomenal rebounding team. They've outrebounded both of their opponents. Against a Fever team that is near the bottom of the league in rebounds per 100 possessions, they should do the same.
Although Indiana reached the semifinals last year, it wasn't an elite team all year, like Minnesota or New York. Caitlin Clark is back, and that should raise the team’s ceiling, but she hasn't been the same player early in the season. It may take a few games to really get going. In the meantime, they're being overpriced.
Washington has looked good early in the season and is 2-0 against the spread (ATS). Perhaps the sportsbooks will catch up with this team eventually, but as long as they continue to rebound the ball well, they'll be competitive with almost any team in the league. I'll take the edge and back the underdog.
Pick: Mystics +9.5 (-118)
