Caitlin Clark is expected to play tonight, and I believe that she and the WNBA's top-scoring offense could be in line for another high-scoring performance against the Mercury. Elsewhere, the Dream and Tempo meet in a rematch of a game played eight days ago. Then I explain why there's still no reason to trust the Storm's offense, even after a few decent performances. Here are the best WNBA picks for Monday, June 22nd.
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Monday's Best WNBA Picks & Bets
(Odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook)
Toronto Tempo at Atlanta Dream
When the Dream and Tempo met in Toronto last Sunday, the Dream won by 25 points. Nothing has changed since then to make me think we won't see a similar result tonight. With this game being played in Atlanta, the final result could be even uglier.
The Tempo has the worst scoring defense in the league, allowing 91.6 points per game. They've allowed at least 97 points in three consecutive games, losing two of those contests by at least 22 points.
Though Toronto's offense ranks fifth-best in the league, averaging 89.6 points per game, it’s not good enough to make up for the lack of defense. The Dream are averaging the third-most points per game, and they're allowing just 83.1 points per contest, which is fourth-best in the league.
You could comfortably take the Dream to hit their team total or the Tempo to score below theirs, but the Dream covering 14.5 points is the safest bet.
Pick: Dream -14.5 (-104)
Phoenix Mercury at Indiana Fever
The Fever’s offense has officially found its stride. Caitlin Clark has scored at least 20 points in five consecutive games, notching at least 25 in four of those contests. The Fever scored at least 96 points in four of those five games, reaching at least 100 three times.
The Mercury have only allowed 100+ points twice all season, though one of those performances did come last Saturday against the Sparks. While the Mercury rank in the top half of the league in scoring defense, they're still allowing 85.9 points per game. With the Fever now leading the league with 92.4 points per game, Indiana should have the advantage in this contest.
While backing the Fever to go over 91.5 points is the safer play, and one definitely worth considering, there's simply too much value in this prop to pass it up. After all, at least one team has scored 100 points in four of the Fever's last five games. Clark is on the injury report, but she's listed as probable, so the Fever should be at full strength.
Pick: Fever to Score 100 Points (+320)
Dallas Wings at Seattle Storm
The Storm's offensive struggles continue to plague them, as they've now lost 10 consecutive games. They're averaging just 76.9 points per game. In Saturday's 20-point loss to the Mercury, they scored just 73 points. While the Storm have scored more than 80 points in three of their last five games, they have also scored 78 or fewer points in 11 games this season.
One of those sub-78-point performances came against the Wings, when the Storm scored a season-low 56 points in Dallas on June 1st. In that game, the Storm shot just 33% from the field, made only four three-pointers and turned the ball over 17 times.
The Wings enter this game with the fifth-best scoring defense in the league, allowing 83.3 points per game. They've held two of their last five opponents to 80 or fewer points. One of those performances saw them hold the Aces to just 66 points last Monday.
Pick: Storm Team Toral Under 78.5 Points (-111)
Phil Wood is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Phil, check out his archive and follow him @Phil_Wood_Jr.