As the week rolls on, so does the WNBA season with a thrilling trio of games scheduled for tonight. We've got the Sparks favored in a road game versus the Tempo. Las Vegas is a 4.5-point favorite against a hot Dallas team, and New York is a massive favorite despite being on the road in Seattle. There are a number of ways each game could unfold. After careful consideration and research, here's how I think each game will play out, along with my best WNBA picks.
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Thursday’s Best WNBA Picks & Predictions
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Toronto Tempo
Both teams are allowing over 91 points per game, so this one must be a no-brainer for the over. The last time they played (May 17th), the final was 106-96, and two days before that it was 99-95. Surely the final will hit the over again, right? Not so fast.
If Kelsey Plum and Brittney Sykes were playing, I might say yes. But both are inactive for this game. On May 17th, Plum and Sykes accounted for 66 points (54 points on May 15th). I'm not sure either team can replace the missing production.
Unless they do, the final score will not exceed this total. Take the under.
Pick: Under 179.5 Points (-110 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
Dallas Wings vs. Las Vegas Aces
I consider the Aces the better overall team between the two, but I can't ignore the results we've already seen. Dallas already has two convincing wins against the Aces - 95-87 on May 28th and 96-66 on June 15th.
The Aces are coming off a bad 87-76 home loss to the Liberty on Tuesday night. But they stomped on Golden State a couple of days earlier, 92-73. They scored 100+ points in their two home games before that one.
Since the last win over Las Vegas, Dallas has gone 2-1, but barely got past both opponents (93-92 vs. Chicago and 112-110 vs. Seattle). There's a chance Dallas could steal a win (+184), but they'll at least keep it close.
Pick: Wings +5.5 (-112 at FanDuel Sportsbook)
New York Liberty vs. Seattle Storm
After watching the Liberty beat the Aces the other night, I have a hard time seeing this Seattle Storm team putting up much of a fight. New York is too good on both ends of the court. But an 11.5-point spread is a pretty big one. Can we trust the Liberty to cover it? I reluctantly have to say no. As good as New York is, they aren't blowing out the teams we expect them to dominate.
They've been double-digit favorites in seven games so far this season, but have gone 4-3 straight up (SU) and 2-5 against the spread (ATS) in those games.
Seattle has been a double-digit underdog in four games. While they lost all four outright, they were 2-2 ATS. Seattle has been competitive in their last five home games. They lost all five but were competitive in each, losing by no more than five points.
Pick: Storm +11.5 (-112 at FanDuel Sportsbook)
