It is going to be a relatively quiet night in the WNBA, with just a single game on the schedule: the Toronto Tempo vs. the Phoenix Mercury. That can still be a good thing. Instead of trying to pick the best WNBA Player Props across several games, we can focus on one.
Toronto has played surprisingly well for an expansion team, and expectations were certainly high for Phoenix coming into this season. It should be a great game, and a good one for betting on WNBA player props.
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Tuesday’s Best WNBA Player Props & Bets
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
Alyssa Thomas Over 15.5 Points (-130)
Thomas has gotten off to a solid start this season, averaging 16.5 points per game and going over this total in three of four games to date. Toronto has been a decent defensive team overall, but they are one of the worst at protecting the paint, where Thomas does much of her work. She has averaged 6.0 points a night at the foul line. Toronto ranks 12th in the league in personal fouls per game (23.5), so chances are good Thomas will go to the line early and often.
Natasha Mack Under 8.5 Rebounds (-158)
Mack is averaging 8.3 boards a game, but her average is a bit inflated due to a pair of solid efforts (15 vs. Aces, 10 vs. Lynx). In the other two games, she pulled down two and six. Toronto has been stingy on the boards and will make it difficult for Phoenix to get rebounds. Consequently, it is more likely that Alyssa Thomas and DeWanna Bonner do well, as they are more consistent rebounders.
Kiki Rice Over 11.5 Points (+100)
Toronto started slowly with Rice, giving her just 18 minutes in the season opener against Washington. Her playing time has increased since, and so has her production. While she did not score in the season opener, she has since recorded 12, 11, and 19 points. Her usage rate is relatively low at 14.5%, but her effective field goal percentage is 66%.
When Rice does see the ball, there is good reason to believe she'll do something with it. At +100, this is a solid value play.
Marina Mabrey Over 18.5 Points (-102)
My first thought was to go with the over for Britney Sykes (19.5 points at -122) after watching her put up 27 and 38 points on the Sparks. Phoenix undoubtedly took notice of this as well and will probably work defending her into the game plan. Assuming they do, scoring opportunities should open up for Mabrey.
Mabrey's usage rate is just below Sykes. In the first two games of the season, when she took 18 and 20 shots, Mabrey scored 27 and 26 points. With Sykes dominating the scoreboard in both games vs. Los Angeles, Mabrey’s shot attempts got cut in half. With the Mercury defense likely to focus more attention on Sykes, Mabrey should see additional scoring chances-enough to push her over this total.
