The WNBA semi-finals move to Game 2, as the Minnesota Lynx and Indiana Fever look to take commanding leads in their respective series. Kelsey Mitchell dropped 34 points in Game 1. Will she have another great performance in Game 2 against the Las Vegas Aces? In the other game, I'm looking at two Phoenix Mercury props, as they look to pull even with the Minnesota Lynx.
Here are the best WNBA player props and bets for Tuesday, September 23rd.
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Tuesday’s Best WNBA Player Props & Bets
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
Kelsey Mitchell Over 20.5 Points (-114)
After an incredible performance, as the 34-point one that Kelsey Mitchell put together in Game 1, it's generally best to back the player's under in their next game, as the public overreacts. However, I'm shocked by the total that oddsmakers are offering.
Mitchell averaged 20.2 points during the regular season, and she's averaging 26 points per game in the playoffs. She's scored at least 24 in three of her four postseason games, and while I don't expect her to perform as well against the Aces in Game 2, this is a phenomenal matchup for her. This season, Mitchell has faced the Aces four times. She's scored at least 20 points in every game against them, and she's averaging 25 points per contest. The public will probably bet this number up to 21.5 before tipoff, so get in as soon as possible.
Alyssa Thomas Under 17.5 Rebounds + Assists (-122)
Alyssa Thomas put together a solid performance in Game 1, registering 18 points, eight rebounds and seven assists. While her combined points + assists + rebounds prop is set right at 32.5, suggesting oddsmakers expect a similar game from Thomas, her combined rebounds + assists line is set higher than it should be.
This season, Thomas averaged 8.8 rebounds and 9.2 assists per game, but she never put up those types of numbers against the Lynx. In three games, she's recorded 13, 14 and 15 combined rebounds + assists per game.
While Thomas had a good series against the New York Liberty, she still only hit this over when she recorded a triple-double in Game 3. If this were set at 15.5, I'd stay away, but putting this higher than her season average against a team she hasn't had great numbers against feels like a big miss from oddsmakers. Even if Thomas has nine triple-doubles this season.
Satou Sabally Over 1.5 Made Three-Pointers (+100)
Satou Sabally has not made a single three-pointer against the Lynx this season, and yet, I'm taking her over anyway. She's 0-of-14 from deep against Minnesota, despite averaging 1.7 made threes per game this season.
Sabally shot 32.1% from deep during the regular season, and she made at least 44.4% of her threes in two of the Mercury's first-round games. While the Lynx have absolutely been a problem for her, I think she's going to break out of her funk eventually. The Lynx allowed opponents to make 33.1% of their threes this season, which ranked eighth in the league.
Considering Sabally has attempted at least four three-pointers in every game against the Lynx, she'll have plenty of opportunities to hit this over. For a great price, take a chance and back the law of averages to win out.
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Phil Wood is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Phil, check out his archive and follow him @Phil_Wood_Jr.