The WNBA features a full five-game slate on Wednesday. Below, I explain why I expect Nyara Sabally to have one of her best games of the season in one specific category against the Chicago Sky. Then, I highlight why Natasha Howard finds herself in a deceivingly good matchup against the Atlanta Dream, before diving into why Natisha Hiedeman is the most undervalued player taking the court tonight. Here are the best WNBA player props for Wednesday, May 27th.
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Monday’s Best WNBA Player Props & Bets
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
Nyara Sabally Over 5.5 Rebounds (+110)
The Sky are allowing 38.5 rebounds per game this season, which is 3.6 more than any other team. If you're wondering why the Sky allow so many rebounds, it's because they have the second-best field goal defense in the league, but they only shoot 41.6% from the floor, which ranks 12th.
The Tempo is worse from the field than the Sky, shooting just 41.1%. However, the Tempo is also one of the best offensive-rebounding teams in the league, averaging 9.1 offensive rebounds per game. The Sky struggles to keep teams off the offensive boards, allowing 9.5 per contest, the third-most in the league.
With all of this in mind, it's hard not to love Nyara Sabally in this game. While the Tempo is the only team allowing opponents to shoot over 50% from the floor, the Sky have been so bad from the field that I expect more rebounding opportunities for the Tempo's leading rebounder.
Sabally has gone over 5.5 rebounds in just two games this season, but she's still averaging 5.4 per game. She can exploit a great matchup, which this undoubtedly is.
Natisha Hiedeman Over 1.5 Made Three-Pointers (-106)
The Mystics and Storm met on Sunday, and Natisha Hiedeman went 4-of-6 from deep. I understand that she's only averaging 1.7 made three-pointers per game, but the Mystics have one of the league's worst three-point defenses, so I have to back her in this matchup again.
The Mystics are allowing 11 three-pointers per game, and teams are shooting 37.7% from long range against them. Seattle doesn't make many three-pointers per game, simply because they don't shoot many. They knock down 36.2% of their shots from beyond the arc, which is the fourth-best rate in the league.
Hiedeman is shooting 35.3% from deep this season. She's made at least three three-pointers in three of her last four games, knocking down at least 50% of her threes twice during that span.
Hiedeman had a slow start to the season, but her shooting has improved of late. This prop is simply accounting too much for her early-season woes and not enough for this great matchup.
Natasha Howard Over 15.5 Points (-113)
Natasha Howard scored only six points in 20 minutes the first time she faced the Dream. She got into foul trouble early, ended up fouling out and took only six shots. Since that game, Howard has scored at least 13 points in five consecutive contests, reaching at least 17 three times. She has also scored 26 twice, including in her most recent game.
Howard is the Lynx's leading scorer despite her performance against the Dream, averaging 17 points per game. While it's a little worrisome that the Lynx have four players averaging at least 15 points per game, which could limit Howard's production, I like her in this matchup because of how aggressive she's been.
Howard has attempted at least 14 field goals in three of her last four games. In the one game during that span when she attempted fewer shots, she took seven field goals and still scored 13 points in just 22 minutes.
The Dream have the second-best scoring defense in the league, but the Lynx already scored 90 points against them earlier this season. Look for Howard to continue scoring at a high rate, as she helps lead one of the league’s best offenses to at least 85 points for the sixth time this season.
Phil Wood is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Phil, check out his archive and follow him @Phil_Wood_Jr.