Murray faces a lot more resistance in his first road game, though, cross-country against a sound Baltimore defense. Jackson draws Arizona’s shaky downfield pass defense, which just struggled against Detroit's wideouts and tight end.
Lamar Jackson won’t have a second straight perfect passer rating. This should be a low-scoring game, making the two-touchdown underdog your best bet against the spread.
The Ravens (1-0) should certainly win this game, but the Cardinals (0-0-1) have to be operating with confidence after rallying from an 18-point deficit against the Lions in Week 1 to earn a tie. Baltimore wins, but Arizona fights.
The Ravens are being overvalued after blowing out the lowly Dolphins. They’ll win, but this game has backdoor cover written all over it.
Way too many points against a Cardinals team that has some solid names on defense. The Ravens are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games when favored by 10 or more points. Arizona is 7-2 ATS in their last nine when they’re underdogs by 13 points or more. You have to think Baltimore is getting a little too much love here because of their Week 1 beat down of Miami.
Baltimore, a playoff team a year ago, is rightly favored, but Arizona’s secondary will be much more active than Miami’s in making life hard for Jackson.
Did the Cardinals figure some things out in the fourth quarter and overtime of that crazy comeback against the Lions? It was odd to hear that Kliff Kingsbury said he wouldn’t go with heavy four-receiver personnel that got the Cardinals going last week — why would you go with the strategy that was awful in the first three quarters over the approach that worked? — but we’ll see. Lamar Jackson looked great last week but this is too many points. (The line is Cardinals plus-13.5 in the Yahoo Pro Football Pick’em.)
Baltimore’s defense is smothering. The Ravens at home vs. a bad Cardinals team with a rookie at QB?
Not only do I think the Ravens are going to win, but they might win by 50. If you thought the Ravens-Dolphins game was a mismatch, just wait until you see what Baltimore does against the Cardinals. For one, the Cardinals had the worst rushing defense in the NFL last year and now they have to face a Ravens team that led the AFC in rushing last season and leads the NFL in rushing this year. Not only will this be Murray's first road game, but he has to play in the eastern time zone, where the Cards are 1-8 since 2016 (Those losses have been by an average of 13 points per game and their only win was a 16-13 overtime victory against a 4-12 Colts team).
It’s a ton of points, but there’s a lot going against Arizona here. Early road game across the country with a quarterback making his first career road start against a team making its home debut. But how about this one? Teams coming off ties are 4-12 ATS the following week since 2003.
Don’t mind laying a big price with the Ravens, which may remain slightly underpriced until the market rates them as they are — one of the best teams in the NFL. Cardinals coach Kliff Kingsbury struggled with playcalling in his NFL debut, making this one of the biggest coaching mismatches of the Week 2 slate against the Ravens’ John Harbaugh.
Lamar Jackson and Kyler Murray are the new wave of NFL quarterbacks who can throw as well as run. Jackson had a big start with five TDs against the woeful Dolphins. Murray threw 54 times in his debut against the Lions. This could be entertaining.
SILVER (0.25 UNITS)