2023 NFL Draft Prop Bet Picks & Predictions

The 2023 NFL Draft is nearly here. What better way to enjoy all the action Round 1 and the NFL Draft bring than to put some money down and raise the stakes? Let us help you do that while making a few bucks along the way with our top 2023 NFL Draft picks and predictions. Each of our NFL Draft analysts have their 2023 NFL Draft Betting Cards linked below. They’ll update them through the start of the 2023 NFL Draft. Let’s take a look at some of the top picks and predictions for the 2023 NFL Draft.

2023 NFL Draft Prop Bets

Matthew Freedman

Michael Mayer: To Packers, Lions, Chargers, Cowboys & Bengals

Line: +500, +700, +650, +550, +800
Sportsbook: FanDuel, DraftKings, DraftKings, DraftKings, FanDuel
Date: Apr. 22
Units: 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2
Notes: Picks Nos. 15-28 are the wheelhouse for where Mayer is likely to go, and I’m willing to bet that he goes to one of these five teams.

Bryan Bresee: Under 28.5

Line: +150
Sportsbook: bet365
Date: Apr. 22
Units: 1
Notes: Bresee goes under 28.5 in 48% of sharp mocks, so this one is a coinflip. I think Nos. 29-30 are realistic options for him, but he could easily go earlier to the Lions at No. 18, Seahawks at No. 20 and Chargers at No. 21.

First Pick for Eagles: Defense

Line: +155
Sportsbook: FOXBet
Date: Apr. 23
Units: 1
Notes: The Eagles could take an offensive lineman or maybe RB Bijan Robinson with the first pick in Round 1 (Robinson is more likely if they trade down), but both defensive tackle and edge rusher are priorities for the Eagles, who like to build depth along the defensive line. And there’s also a chance they could take a cornerback. The Eagles go with a defensive player in 76% of sharp mocks.

Michael Mayer: Under 21.5

Line: +150
Sportsbook: bet365
Date: Apr. 23
Units: 1
Notes: Mayer’s over/under is 23.5 at Caesars juiced -120 to the under, but if we move down two spots we can gain 70 cents of value without (in my opinion) giving up much in return: Picks Nos. 22-23 belong to the Ravens and Vikings, both of whom are set at tight end, so Mayer’s real odds of going before 21.5 are roughly the same as the odds for going before 23.5, and I think those odds are about 50/50. In sharp mocks, Mayer’s mean is 21.4 and his median is 21. He often is mocked to the Cowboys at No. 26, but he could easily go off the board before then to the Packers, Lions and Chargers (Nos. 15, 18 & 21).

Kent Weyrauch

2nd Overall – C.J. Stroud

Line: +340
Sportsbook: FanDuel
Date: 4/21
Units: 1
Notes: The hating on C.J. Stroud in the last week is too fishy. The S2 results leaked (from an NFL exec, mind you) don’t mesh with what the co-founder discussed on PFF’s podcast not long ago. I’m calling silly season.

S2 Cognition test results per @BobMcGinn:

Bryce Young – 98%
Jake Haener – 96%
Will Levis – 93%
Jaren Hall – 93%
Clayton Tune – 84%
Anthony Richardson – 79%
Hendon Hooker – 46%
CJ Stroud – 18%

— Shane P. Hallam (@ShanePHallam) April 21, 2023

1st DEF – Will Anderson Jr. FanDuel AND 1st Non-QB – Tyree Wilson DraftKings

Line: +125 (Anderson) and +120 (Wilson)
Sportsbook: FanDuel/DraftKings
Date: 4/22
Units: 1 each
Notes: This is a live risk-mitigated bet opportunity where the only realistic risk is Jalen Carter, in my opinion. I highly doubt the Texans would get mixed up with Carter considering his recent issues and the organization’s own problems.