The Baltimore Orioles could be sent home tonight.
They’re down 2-0 in the ALDS, with a road game against the Texas Rangers.
Meanwhile, the Astros and Twins are tied up at one in the ALDS best-of-five series. The winner of today’s game will need just one more win to get into the ALCS.
I’ve got a couple of same-game parlays for these ALDS matchups. Below we dive into Astros vs. Twins.
Tuesday’s Best MLB Same Game Parlay Bets: Astros vs. Twins
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins
- Leg 1: Royce Lewis Over 1.5 Total Bases (+100)
- Leg 2: Edouard Julien Over 1.5 Total Bases (+160)
- Leg 3: Sonny Gray Under 4.5 Ks (-144)
The Astros will pitch Christian Javier on the road in today’s Game 3 of the ALDS. Javier has struggled a lot recently. Righties have hit a .219 ISO in the last month. Meanwhile, his previous 83 batters have hit 39.6% of fly balls, 29.2% of line drives, and only 22.9% of ground balls.
Javier has a high strikeout rate. But when batters put the ball in play, things unravel for Javier.
Throughout the season, Javier has been worse against lefties. He’s allowed 372 lefties to hit a .197 ISO and wOBA of .354. He’s also allowed righties to hit an ISO of .181.
Therefore, we’ll back a couple of the hottest hitters in the Minnesota lineup.
Royce Lewis is a righty, hitting a .477 ISO and wOBA of .478 against his last 53 righties. There’s also Edouard Julien, who should lead things off for Minnesota. He’s hit a .265 ISO and wOBA of .407 against his last 87 righties.
On the other hand, Sonny Gray will get the start for the Twins. While he’s earned 27.4% of strikeouts over the last month, he’s only struck out 24.4% of batters this season. Gray has struck out just 20% of righties in the last 30 days.
He’ll likely face a Houston lineup with six righties in the lineup. That projected lineup has limited strikeouts to 19.8% over the last month against righties. Gray won’t earn a high rate of strikeouts in this game.
Parlay Odds: +809
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