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Whether you're a first-timer or an experienced bettor, we can all use a little help. One way to find value is to use the BettingPros prop bet cheat sheets for your sport of choice and filter by star rating.
On a scale of one to five stars, BettingPros rates player props across multiple sports. The star rating is determined by our projections, expected value and advanced modeling.
From NBA rebounds to MLB home runs, there is no shortage of props to bet on every single day. And if you're too busy to spend hours digging through the data, we've done the research for you.
Read on for our top five-star prop bet of the day.
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Best Prop Bets Today
On top of pinpointing our top prop bets by star rating, we can take it a step further by identifying which five-star props also have a 100% hit rate over the player's last five games. You can also filter hit rates over the past 15 games, but let's not push our luck.
Samuel Basallo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
Last Week: 0-0 | Season Record: 0-0 | Best Odds: -130 at Fanatics Sportsbook
There are 335 five-star MLB player prop bets today. Seven feature a 100% hit rate over the player's last five games - including Samuel Basallo to go over 1.5 combined hits + runs + RBIs.
The BettingPros prop bet cheat sheet has Basallo projected for 2.7 combined hits + runs + RBIs in his matchup today on the road in Washington. The Orioles catcher/designated hitter will face Nationals starter Zack Littell.
This game has a hefty 9.5 projected total, meaning Basallo should have plenty of opportunities to put up some counting stats. The nice thing about this combo prop is that Basallo doesn't have to do it all himself.
The Orioles slugger has cleared 1.5 combined 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs in seven straight games and in eight of his last 10 contests. During his current seven-game over streak, he is averaging 3.4 combined hits + runs + RBIs. His hit rate for the season is 55.9% to the over for this player prop, cashing in 19 out of 34 games.
If we zero in specifically on his last seven games, Basallo has accumulated 10 hits, five runs and six RBIs, including six extra-base hits.
Basallo should hit fifth in the lineup today, and he has been on fire over the last seven days. During that stretch, he owns a .429 batting average and 1.000 OPS, while collecting six hits, two RBIs and two runs scored across four games.
Littell is not off to the most promising start, with a 1-4 record and 6.94 ERA on the season. He has allowed 45 hits, 35 runs and 28 earned runs this season across 36.1 innings in eight outings. Current Orioles hitters have gone 25-for-94 against Littell with seven home runs.
The lefty Basallo has done more damage against right-handed pitching. Four of his five home runs, 12 of his runs and 15 of his 16 RBIs have come against righties. He also owns a .281 batting average, .500 slugging rate and .837 OPS versus righties, compared to .261, .391 and .737 marks against lefties in the same metrics.
In a matchup against an underwhelming Littell and in his favored split, Basallo is in a prime spot to clear today's 1.5 line on his combined hits + runs + RBIs prop. Overwhelmingly so, with a 75% cover probability and +53% expected value (anything over 10% is considered a high-value bet). Our own Jason Radowitz also likes Basallo to take Littell deep today at +440 odds.
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