A trip to Super Bowl LVI in Los Angeles, CA will be on the line Sunday afternoon in Kansas City, as the Chiefs look to make it three appearances in four years. For the Bengals, a trip to the Big Game for the first time since 1989 will be on the line as Joe Burrow looks to stamp his ticket legend status in just his second year.
Let’s take a closer look.
- Opening Line: Chiefs -6.5, O/U 53
- Current Line: Chiefs -7, O/U 54.5
- Last meeting: January 2, 2022, Chiefs 31, Bengals 34
It’s hard to argue this Chiefs team hasn’t flipped a switch as of late, putting up 42 points in both of their playoff appearances to this point. Much has been made about their resurgence to end the season on the defensive front, but by no means have they been putting up elite numbers.
Over their last four games, each of them meaningful, the Chiefs have allowed just under 29 points per game and narrowly won the yardage battle despite an offense putting up monster numbers.
For the Bengals, it’s been an opposite kind of narrative. While their offense behind Burrow and rookie WR Ja’Marr Chase has been the primary catalyst, their defense has quietly locked teams down.
Over their last three games, the Bengals have allowed just 17 points per game which, while unlikely in this spot, is certainly not for nothing.
- Over 7-0 in Chiefs L7 games
- Home team 5-2 ATS in L7 Chiefs/Bengals games
- Bengals 6-0 ATS in L6 games
While I ultimately expect the Chiefs to advance, I think we see a bit of a hangover after last week’s emotional overtime thriller vs. the Bills. In a game they seemed to have lost multiple times over the final few minutes, the Chiefs pulled it off, but I think we see a slow start here as a result.
Look for the Bengals to come out aggressive in a game they have nothing to lose and likely feel like are playing with house money.
Pick: Bengals 1H +4
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