The Bengals are looking like a hazardous team at the moment. Joe Burrow looks like a future MVP, and his connection with former LSU teammate Ja’Marr Chase has transitioned into the NFL flawlessly. However, they face a tough matchup this week as they draw the No. 1 seeded Tennessee Titans fresh off their bye. The Titans will be getting back their best player in 2020’s rushing leader Derrick Henry, and he’s proven to be a game-changer when in the lineup. How will this impact Tannehill? That and other prop bets to look at in this week’s matchup.
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Ja’Marr Chase Receiving Yards O/U 76.5
The special connection of Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase continued on the big stage as he went the rookie wideout had nine catches for 116 yards in the win against Las Vegas. This season, the Raiders were a top 12 pass defense, and now the Bengals are facing one that finished 25th in passing yards allowed per game. The Bengals have been gone a little more pass-heavy the last few games, having thrown on 64.5% of their plays in their previous three games, and we will see that to continue. With all the talented pass catchers for Cincy and not enough people to cover them, Chase should get a few shots to make big plays in this game.
Pick: Over 76.5
Joe Burrow Pass Attempts O/U 35.5
Joe Burrow and the Bengals have been very efficient passing the ball lately, and it continued last week as he threw for two touchdowns. As mentioned, Cincinnati has recently gone more pass-heavy, and if they want to beat the top team in the AFC, they need to continue with that game plan. Tennessee allows the fourth-most passing attempts per game (36.9), primarily due to teams attacking that vulnerable secondary. If the Bengals want to go to the AFC title, they will attack the same they have been, and that’s on the shoulders of the sophomore star quarterback.
Pick: Over 35.5
Ryan Tannehill Passing Yards O/U 237.5
Tennessee, with or without Derrick Henry, has been a run-heavy team as they were second in run-play percentage (51.3%) in 2021. With Henry back in the lineup, the focus will be on handing him the ball to move this offense down the field. There isn’t any speculation that Henry will be on any pitch count, but in a win or go home situation, there shouldn’t be. Ryan Tannehill has thrown under 236 passing yards in 11 of 17 games this season, and the game plan should keep the ball out of his hands as much as possible.
Pick: Under 235.5
Ryan Tannehill Rushing Yards O/U 13.5
Having Derrick Henry back in the lineup gives the Titans a massive advantage in the run game, but he won’t be the only one using his legs on Saturday. Tannehill isn’t shy about tucking the ball and taking off for the positive yards, as he had 55 rushing attempts this season. In addition, Cincinnati DE Trey Hendrickson is expected to play after suffering a concussion last week. With that defensive line having all of their weapons, expect a lot of pressure on Tannehill, which means he should tuck take off a few times in this game. He’s averaging 15.9 yards per game this season, and he will get to his average this week.
Pick: Over 13.5
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