Marlins vs. Phillies: MLB Same Game Parlay Odds & Picks (Tuesday)

Welcome to postseason baseball!

We’ve got four games on the slate in the Wild Card Series for the AL and NL. Let’s take a look at my top same game parlay picks for Marlins vs. Phillies.

Tuesday’s Best MLB Same Game Parlay Bets: Marlins vs. Phillies

(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)

Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies

Leg 1: Nick Castellanos Over 1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Leg 2: Trea Turner Over 1.5 Total Bases (-110)
Leg 3: Alec Bohm Over 1.5 Total Bases (+115)

The Miami Marlins are going with Jesus Luzardo for Game 1 of the Wild Card Series. Luzardo has been solid throughout the season for the Marlins, but he’s been slightly more inconsistent than Zack Wheeler, who will take the mound for the Phillies. Philadelphia is also home and has hit very well against lefties over the last month.

Luzardo has watched 563 righties hit a .188 ISO and wOBA of .333 this season. These aren’t horrific numbers but they’re still below average. He’s also allowed righties to hit 39.1% of fly balls while inducing only 30.4% of ground balls. That typically won’t get the job done.

Meanwhile, the Phillies have a lot of strong bats against lefties. Trea Turner has socked a .265 ISO and wOBA of .347 against his last 38 lefties. He’s also struck out only 21.1% of the time against lefties in the previous month. Nick Castellanos has hit a .478 ISO and wOBA of .507 against his last 28 lefties. Castellanos has only struck out 17.9% of the time against lefties over the previous month. Finally, Alec Bohm has slugged a .455 ISO and wOBA of .368 in the last 30 days against lefties. He has also struck out just 13% of the time.

While Luzardo is a high strikeout pitcher, he’s facing a lot of righties that don’t typically strike out. Back the Phillies’ righties in the night game.

Parlay Odds: +791

Go premium to view top prop bets based on Cover Probability, Expected Value, & Star Rating >>