There are plenty of solid home run choices tonight. Last week, we nailed home run props on Saturday and Sunday. Let’s see if we can have another big weekend. Here are three more MLB home run props for today’s full slate.
Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>
Friday’s Best MLB Home Run Props & Picks
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Corey Seager (+370)
The Detroit Tigers are set to pitch Jack Flaherty tonight. The veteran right-hander has struggled badly, especially against lefties. He’s allowed a .279 ISO and a wOBA of .415 against his last 60 lefties faced.
Those 60 lefties have hit 33.3% of fly balls and a 12.1% barrel rate with just 20% of strikeouts. Instead, Flaherty has walked 23.3% of batters, proving he’s falling behind lefties regularly.
Meanwhile, Corey Seager of the Rangers is a left-handed slugger who has hit a .239 ISO and a wOBA of .317 against righties over the last 30 days. Seager has also hit a 16.3% barrel rate during that time and has added 28.6% of fly balls with nearly 47% of hard contact.
Let’s ride with Seager at +370 odds to go deep.
Ozzie Albies (+490)
Ozzie Albies is a switch-hitting second baseman who has smashed a .256 ISO and a wOBA of .417 against lefties over the last 30 days. Albies rarely strikes out, but he also doesn’t walk much against lefties. He’s up there to swing the bat.
Tonight, Albies will battle Jose Quintana of the Colorado Rockies. Quintana has allowed a .179 ISO and a wOBA of .310 to his last 46 righties. Those righties have still hit 34.2% of fly balls. Plus, Quintana has struck out only 6.5% of righties over the last 30 days and has allowed 10.9% of walks.
Albies has the potential to hit a line drive home run against Quintana. At +490 odds, he’s worth betting on to hit a moonshot.
Sam Antonacci (+920)
There’s way too much value here to look past Sam Antonacci.
Antonacci has hit a .235 ISO and a wOBA of .373 with 4.8% of strikeouts over the last 30 days against right-handed pitching. He’s also hit 27.3% of fly balls and 45.5% of hard contact with a 9.1% barrel rate against righties.
Yet, Antonacci is priced at +920 to hit a home run against German Marquez of the San Diego Padres. Marquez is a right-hander who has watched lefties hit a .279 ISO and a wOBA of .384 against left-handed hitting. Those lefties have hit a 14.7% barrel rate and 38.2% of fly balls.
You can ride with any lefty in the White Sox lineup. Antonacci at +920 is too good to pass up.
