There are only six games on the MLB slate tonight. But I’m still eying three spots for home runs. Check out my top three MLB home run props for tonight’s limited slate.
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Monday’s Best MLB Home Run Props & Picks
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Mike Trout (+520)
Over the last 30 days, Mike Trout has hit a .300 ISO and a wOBA of .456 against left-handed pitching. He’s added over 38% of fly balls, with 57.1% of hard contact and a barrel rate of 19% against lefties during that time.
Trout takes on Joey Cantillo of the Guardians, who has allowed a .206 ISO and a wOBA of .367 to his last 81 righties. Those 81 righties have hit a 9.1% barrel rate with 49.1% of hard contact. Cantillo has also given up 32.7% of fly balls and has added just 18.5% of strikeouts against righties over the last month.
Let’s give Mike Trout a shot tonight.
Ben Rice (+300)
The Yankees will fill up their lineup with left-handed bats tonight. They’re facing Brandon Young of the Orioles, who has allowed a .257 ISO and a wOBA of .390 against lefties over the last 30 days.
Young has also allowed 36.4% of fly balls with 48.5% of hard contact. He’s also added just 7.7% of strikeouts against lefties and has allowed a 9.1% barrel rate.
Ben Rice is the best lefty the Yankees have right now. He has hit a .255 ISO and a wOBA of .377 against righties over the last month. In addition, he’s added 27.9% of fly balls, 30.2% of line drives, 60.5% of hard contact and an 18.6% barrel rate against righties.
This is a great matchup for Rice.
Josh Jung (+730)
Josh Jung has hit a .259 ISO and a wOBA of .467 against right-handed pitching as a right-handed batter over the last 30 days. The good news for Jung is that he’ll face Michael Soroka, who has been incredibly bad against righties as a right-handed pitcher.
Soroka has allowed a .222 ISO and a wOBA of .340 against his last 39 righties. He’s also added below 18% of strikeouts against righties and has given up 30% of fly balls with 40% of hard contact.
Jung has hit 36.1% of line drives with 51.4% of hard contact. He’s been red-hot against righties. Hopefully, he can keep it up tonight.
