It’s June, and there are nine games on tonight’s MLB slate. With nine games, there’s plenty of value on the board. Here are three MLB home run props to consider.
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Monday’s Best MLB Home Run Props & Picks
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
CJ Abrams (+490)
CJ Abrams has smashed a .258 ISO and a wOBA of .392 against his last 75 right-handed pitchers. The left-hander has also hit 25% of fly balls, 54.2% of hard contact and a 12.5% barrel rate during that time.
Tonight, Abrams will battle Sandy Alcantara of the Miami Marlins. Alcantara is a notable name and started the season strong. However, over the last 30 days, he’s allowed a .289 ISO and a wOBA of .428 to his last 81 lefties. Those lefties have hit 28.6% of fly balls along with an 11.1% barrel rate.
Let’s see if Abrams can pull one over the wall tonight.
Alec Burleson (+430)
The Texas Rangers are set to pitch Jacob deGrom tonight. The righty has been absolutely awful against lefties over the last 30 days, allowing a .417 ISO and a wOBA of .402 with 40% of fly balls. He has only allowed a .241 batting average on balls in play (BABIP) to lefties during that time, but he’s still allowed a 14.3% barrel rate and over 71% of hard contact.
The Rangers hurler will face lefty Alec Burleson today, who has hit a .219 ISO and a wOBA of .396 against righties over the last 30 days. This is actually a terrific matchup for Burleson on paper, as deGrom hasn’t looked great against lefties. Plus, Burleson has shown some power against righties over the last month.
Zach Neto (+390)
Zach Neto has hit a .273 ISO and a wOBA of .417 in the leadoff spot against left-handed pitchers over the last month. He’s added 26.7% of fly balls and 53.3% of hard contact. He has also minimized ground balls to just 40% over the last 30 days.
Neto will compete against Colorado’s Kyle Freeland, who has allowed a .443 ISO and a wOBA of .541 to his last 88 righties. Those 88 righties have hit 32.3% of fly balls and a 16.1% barrel rate. He’s also added just 19.3% of strikeouts against righties.
Look for Neto to take advantage when facing the lefty tonight.
