Prop bets can be a fickle beast. When you are hot and rolling, picking winners and keeping the hot streak going can seem easy. Hopefully, with this set of five, we can start the week on the right foot.
(Odds are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
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Anthony Santander o1.5 TB (+100)
Anthony Santander is one of the better hitters in this Orioles lineup, and he also happens to mash lefties. He has a wRC+ of 154 against southpaws and an ISO of 0.239. He faces Tyler Alexander today, who has an ERA over 5. This is an excellent spot for Santander to take advantage of a soft lefty.
Colorado Rockies TT o5.5 (+110)
The Rockies return home and get to face Jakob Junis today. He does not generate a ton of swing and misses and tends to rely on BABIP limiting to succeed. Playing in Coors makes an approach like that difficult, and as a result, I think the Rockies can beat this number easily and that this should not be at plus money.
Sonny Gray u3.5 K (+120)
I do not love to bet under on K props, but this number is appealing to me. Sonny Gray has not posted an elite K rate this year after dealing with several injuries, and he faces a Cleveland offense with the lowest K% in baseball against righties. This looks like a tough spot for him to rack up Ks.
Luis Garcia o1.5 BBs (+115)
Luis Garcia has walked a little over 2.5 hitters per nine this season, and he gets a Rays offense with middle-of-the-road walk rates. While his struggles have mostly been home run related, I think this number shouldn’t be at plus money. The Rays have enough hitters to wait him out and get him to two walks.
Cal Raleigh o0.5 HR (+320)
Cal Raleigh has been one of the best offensive catchers in the league this season, with 23 homers and an ISO over 0.250. Today he faces Jose Saurez, a left-hander for the Angels. Only three of his homers have been against lefties, but he has a 124 wRC+. I like him to take Saurez deep tonight.
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