We’re working with a slightly more limited MLB slate today, but let’s keep the momentum going following yesterday’s 3-0 sweep.
Here are the best PrizePicks plays worth considering for today, Thursday, Sept. 28.
Thursday’s Best MLB PrizePicks Player Predictions
This season: 73-59-8
This is must-win territory for the Mariners. Following yesterday’s loss, they are now 1.5 games behind Houston for a wild-card spot with only four games remaining against the Rangers. Scott Servais will treat these games as if they were the playoffs, so if anything goes awry for Logan Gilbert, the bullpen will be warming up.
We’re working with a slightly more limited MLB slate today, but let’s keep the momentum going following yesterday’s 3-0 sweep.
Here are the best PrizePicks plays worth considering for today, Thursday, Sept. 28.
Thursday’s Best MLB PrizePicks Player Predictions
This season: 73-59-8
This is must-win territory for the Mariners. Following yesterday’s loss, they are now 1.5 games behind Houston for a wild-card spot with only four games remaining against the Rangers. Scott Servais will treat these games as if they were the playoffs, so if anything goes awry for Logan Gilbert, the bullpen will be warming up.
Gilbert just faced the Rangers five days ago and only had two strikeouts in his 5.2 innings. Texas is 17th in K% (22.1%) and fourth in wRC+ (127) vs. right-handed pitching over the last 30 days. Seventeen of the last 25 right-handed starters to face them have stayed under this mark, and Texas has a paltry 20.9% K% in 153 combined PAs against Gilbert as well. He has failed to eclipse this mark in 17 of his last 22 starts .
Let's get crazy and take this under on this exceptionally low strikeout line. Dakota Hudson has never really been a strikeout pitcher, and he's working with a career-low 12.7% K%. That is the lowest mark of any starter in the game. He's in the second percentile in CSW%, 15th in xERA and 26th in xFIP as well. Since rejoining the rotation, he has failed to eclipse this mark in eight of his 10 starts.
As divisional foes, the Brewers are also familiar with what he brings to the table, and their roster has a .405 xwOBA and 15.3% K% in 59 combined plate appearances against him. With a sinker-heavy approach, he's pitching to contact, not looking to strike anyone out.
The Orioles have owned Chris Sale this year. In three starts against Baltimore, he has thrown 12 innings, allowing 19 earned runs and 22 hits. That’s not great.
Eight of the last 10 left-handed starters to face the O’s have allowed six or more hits. They have a .284 batting average (sixth) and 127 wRC+ (t-fifth) squaring off against lefties over the last month, as well. If history teaches us anything, then Sale is getting knocked around once again.
Make sure to check out our other best bets for Thursday:
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Tyler Gentile is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Tyler, follow him @808Paperboi.
