Happy Humpday all! We’ve got a full slate of games spread across the day. Let’s get right into some of the best props on PrizePicks.
Wednesday's Best MLB PrizePicks Player Predictions
PrizePicks record: 21-12-2
Masataka Yoshida Under 0.5 Strikeouts
Look, I’m sorry if this is getting boring at this point, but these batter K props have been money since I started wagering on them. Yoshida was the first hitter to catch my eye in this market, and he continues to put the ball in play and avoid the Ks. He is in the top 98% in K%, 92% in Whiff%, and has stayed under this in 13/18 games this month. Overall on the season, he is under in 26/41 (63%).
Happy Humpday all! We’ve got a full slate of games spread across the day. Let’s get right into some of the best props on PrizePicks.
Wednesday's Best MLB PrizePicks Player Predictions
PrizePicks record: 21-12-2
Masataka Yoshida Under 0.5 Strikeouts
Look, I’m sorry if this is getting boring at this point, but these batter K props have been money since I started wagering on them. Yoshida was the first hitter to catch my eye in this market, and he continues to put the ball in play and avoid the Ks. He is in the top 98% in K%, 92% in Whiff%, and has stayed under this in 13/18 games this month. Overall on the season, he is under in 26/41 (63%).
Tonight he will likely slide down to the 6th spot in the lineup with lefty Tyler Anderson on the mound. Typically lefty-on-lefty splits don’t bode well for the batter, but for Yoshida, it doesn’t really matter who he faces. In fact, his K% (8.9%) vs. Southpaws is actually lower than it is against righties (9.6%), albeit with fewer plate appearances. Anderson isn’t one to strike out many batters as it is, anyway. He is in the bottom 6% in K%, 22% in xERA/xwOBA, and his CSW% (26.7%) is 145th among all pitchers. There’s not much of a concern for the Angels’ bullpen once he gets pulled, either. They are just 21st in K% (22.6%) versus left-handed hitters.
Of the three discounted strikeout props at PrizePicks, this one sticks out as the best by far. Plus, who doesn’t love a guy with two first names? The Giants have been one of the most K-prone teams vs. RHP all season with the 5th highest K% (25%). Now they face one of the best strike-out artists in the game so far in the early season.
Joe Ryan has cleared this in seven of nine starts and ranks in the top 86% in K%, 98% in Chase Rate, 97% in xERA/xwOBA, and has a 31% CSW% (25th best). The two misses he had came against the Guardians (lowest K% vs RHP) and Red Sox (third lowest). Look for him to shove today, pitching at home.
Steven Kwan Under 0.5 Strikeouts
It’s only fitting to finish with my other go-to in this market. Steven Kwan is a master of the strike zone and putting the ball in play. He ranks in the top 99% in Whiff%, 98% in K%, 91% in Chase Rate, and 78% in BB%. Dating back to last season, Kwan hasn’t struck out in 63% of his games.
Michael Kopech starts for the White Sox today. He’s coming off a phenomenal outing against the Royals but has been as volatile as it gets for the vast majority of the season, and his career, for that matter. He’s in the bottom 11% in xERA/xwOBA, 13% in BB%, and 33% in Chase Rate. He’s capable of racking up some punchouts, but I’m willing to risk it with Kwan here. He has seen Kopech on three occasions and hasn’t struck out or whiffed once.
Check out our other best bets for Wednesday:
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Tyler Gentile is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Tyler, follow him @808Paperboi.
