A +590 Same-Game Parlay hit for us yesterday in the Tampa Bay Rays game! We’re now up in profit for the week in Same-Game Parlays and will look to keep it that way with three more parlay picks today.
Will we hit two long-shot parlays back-to-back?
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets
- Leg 1: Jacob deGrom Over 9.5 K’s (-104)
- Leg 2: Starling Marte 2+ Total Bases (-120)
- Leg 3: Mark Canha 2+ Total Bases (+140)
Jacob deGrom will get the start for the Mets tonight. The right-hander has a 1.27 xFIP in the last 30 days while striking out 45.7% of batters faced. He’s also walked just 1.2% of batters faced and will now take on a Rockies lineup with a .089 ISO and wOBA of .297 against righties in the last 30 days.
The Rockies don’t strike out a whole lot against righties. However, deGrom is different than most right-handed pitchers. Again, he’s struck out 45.7% of batters in the last 30 and usually gets the best of anyone.
On the flip side, Ryan Feltner will head to the mound for the Rockies with his 5.74 xFIP in the last 30 days. He’s not getting a high amount of strikeouts and is giving up plenty of walks. He’s also been much worse to right-handed batters in the last 30 days, despite being a righty. In his last 45 plate appearances against righties, Feltner has a .421 wOBA and ISO of .350.
Therefore, I’ll stack consistent righties in the Mets lineup. Starling Marte has a .217 ISO and wOBA of .368 against righties in his last 88 plate appearances, while Mark Canha has a .239 ISO with a .417 wOBA against righties in his last 54 plate appearances.
Parlay Odds: +828 via FanDuel
Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles
- Leg 1: Luis Robert 2+ Total Bases (-120)
- Leg 2: Jose Abreu 2+ Total Bases (-110)
- Leg 3: AJ Pollock 2+ Total Bases (-110)
The Chicago White Sox are always right-handed heavy in their lineup. Tonight, they’ll take on Baltimore’s Jordan Lyles, who has struggled against righties, as a righty.
In 56 plate appearances against righties, Lyles has a .366 ISO and wOBA of .176. Meanwhile, the White Sox haven’t been all that consistent on the offensive end. But they’ve got plenty of guys from the right-handed side that match up well.
A.J. Pollock has struck out just 9.5% against righties in the last 30 days. He should be able to put the ball in play. If he’s leading off, there’s a good chance he could see five at-bats. I like him to set the tone for Chicago tonight.
Luis Robert, on the other hand, is hitting a .336 wOBA but has also struck out just 12.5% of the time against righties in his last 32 plate appearances. He’s also hitting 37% of line drives when he puts the ball into play. Lastly, Jose Abreu has been hitting 21.7% of line drives against righties in the last 30 days. He has a .336 wOBA and has walked just 2.4% of the time.
I’ll take the White Sox righties to do damage tonight.
Parlay Odds: +570 via FanDuel
New York Yankees vs. Oakland Athletics
- Leg 1: Aaron Judge to Hit a Home Run (+285)
- Leg 2: Seth Brown 1+ Hit (-115)
- Leg 3: Shea Langeliers 1+ Hit (-150)
Aaron Judge has hit two home runs in his last two games. He’s clearly jumping out of his slump. In the last 30 days, against righties, Judge has a .355 ISO and wOBA of .452. He’ll take on James Kaprielian, who has given up a .399 wOB A and ISO of .302 to his last 53 righties.
If you want to make this parlay less juicy, take Judge to get two bases.
On the other hand, Jameson Taillon is on the mound for the Yankees. The righty has done well, limiting line drives and getting a solid amount of grounders. But lefties are hitting an ISO of .245 while righties are hitting a .196 ISO in the last 30 days against him.
The two consistent bats in the A’s lineup should have success. Seth Brown is hitting a .310 ISO and wOBA of .378 against righties, while Shea Langeliers is hitting a .467 ISO with a wOBA of .465 against righties in his last 16 plate appearances.
We won’t see a ton of offense in Oakland, but hopefully, we’ll get enough to his this parlay.
Parlay Odds: +997 via FanDuel
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