The MLB wants many games on July 4. Therefore, there are only three on today’s slate. We’ve got Houston-Toronto at 3:07 p.m. ET, the Mets-Nationals at 6:45 p.m. ET and the Brewers-Rockies at 8:40 p.m. ET.
Today’s best MLB Same Game Parlays will focus on the later games of the slate so everyone can get in on the action.
Monday’s Best MLB Same Game Parlay Bets
(MLB Same Game Parlay odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
New York Mets @ Washington Nationals MLB Same Game Parlay
- Leg 1: David Peterson Under 4.5 Ks (-118)
- Leg 2: Brandon Nimmo Over 1.5 Total Bases (+120)
- Leg 3: MacKenzie Gore Under 6.5 Ks (-154)
Over the last 30 days, David Peterson has struck out only 17.2% of batters. He’s ultimately struck out only 16.5% of batters throughout the season.
Tonight, he’ll take on a Nationals lineup that has only struck out 19% of the time against lefties. No batter has struck out over 25% against lefties over the last month. Therefore, we’ll start the parlay with Peterson to go Under his strikeouts.
On the other hand, the Nationals will give MacKenzie Gore the ball for tonight’s game. He’s also a lefty, but he’s allowed his last 29 lefties to hit a wOBA of .407. Gore has induced only 8.7% of ground balls against lefties and has struck them out only 13.8% of the time over the last month. He’s also allowed over 39% of fly balls to lefties.
Therefore, we’ll back Brandon Nimmo to earn at least two total bases. He’s hit a .241 ISO and wOBA of .401 against his last 32 lefties.
Finally, the Mets’ lineup has only struck out 18.4% of the time against lefties. Plus, Gore’s strikeout rate has dipped to 21% over the last 30 days despite the number being at 26.3% this season.
MLB Same Game Parlay Odds: +484
Milwaukee Brewers @ Colorado Rockies MLB Same Game Parlay
- Leg 1: Joey Ortiz Over 1.5 Total Bases (-160)
- Leg 2: Ryan McMahon Over 1.5 Total Bases (-110)
- Leg 3: Nolan Jones Over 1.5 Total Bases (+110)
The Brewers haven’t hit lefties very well over the last 30 days. However, Joey Ortiz has been the one consistent hitter. He’s smacked a .318 ISO and wOBA of .453 against lefties and will have a lot of potential in Coors Field against Austin Gomber.
Gomber has allowed a .215 ISO and wOBA of .425 against his last 86 righties and has only struck out 14% of righties in the last month.
On the other hand, Bryse Wilson will pitch for the Brewers. He’s allowed a .224 ISO and wOBA of .380 to 142 lefties. He’s also struck out only 20.4% of lefties this season and has induced just 35.4% of grounders.
Ryan McMahon, a lefty, has hit a .197 ISO and wOBA of .322. Meanwhile, Nolan Jones has slugged a .200 ISO and wOBA of .368 against righties. Both lefties have added a high hard contact rate and hit an above-average barrel percentage over the last 30 days against righties.
Let’s take our chances with these three bats for our Same-Game Parlay tonight.
MLB Same Game Parlay Odds: +541
