We were jipped out of a +468 cash and a second straight profitable week with our MLB same game parlays (SGPs) last week, as we lost the Under on the Orioles-Royals game that ended up combining for 12 runs over 12 innings, despite just one run being scored entering the ninth.
Undeterred, I focus on the positives of nailing two of three legs of each of my SGPs, knowing that my individual wagers still returned profits.
Let’s dive into the two best SGPs from Monday’s small eight-game slate.
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Monday’s Best MLB Same Game Parlays
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians
- Leg 1: Guardians Moneyline (-143)
- Leg 2: Steven Matz Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-139)
- Leg 3: Yandy Diaz 2+ Hits + Runs + RBIs (-143)
The Cleveland Guardians dropped the final two games of their series with the Toronto Blue Jays, which means they’ve now lost two series in a row. However, Cleveland is also forming an unheralded “Big Three” in its starting rotation, as the team is 13-2 in the 15 games started by either Gavin Williams, Parker Messick, or Joey Cantillo. That includes a perfect 5-0 in Messick’s starts, while winning four of the southpaw’s five outings by at least two runs (the Guardians are outscoring opponents 28-14 in his five starts).
Opposing Messick is a southpaw who is well past his prime, as Steven Matz has thrown fewer than 77 innings in three of the last four seasons. Matz’s 9.2 K/9 rate is eye-popping considering it is on pace to be his best since 2021. Still, he is also facing a Guardians lineup that strikes out the fourth-fewest of any team (and the second-fewest among AL teams) against left-handed pitching this season.
Lastly, even though it goes against the Guardians moneyline bet somewhat, I have to back the red-hot Yandy Diaz in some capacity. Diaz has hit two home runs, driven in 10 runs, batted .316, and produced an OPS of .856 in his last 15 games.
Parlay Odds: +397
Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twins
- Leg 1: Mariners Moneyline (-143)
- Leg 2: Luis Castillo 4+ Strikeouts (-367)
- Leg 3: Cal Raleigh 1+ RBI (+137)
This series opener between the Seattle Mariners and Minnesota Twins is one between two teams heading in opposite directions. Seattle has won four straight games (tied for its longest winning streak of the season) and six of eight, while averaging 5.0 runs per game during that eight-game span. Meanwhile, Minnesota is amid its longest losing streak of the season (five games), and doesn’t inspire confidence with Connor Prielipp toeing the rubber in just his second career start. The Twins have also been held to two or fewer runs four times during their losing streak.
If Seattle is going to win, it is likely to be the next in line to keep Minnesota’s bats at bay, which should lead to a long outing from Luis Castillo. After failing to complete four innings in back-to-back starts, Castillo has recorded 15 and 16 outs in his last two appearances, while throwing 91 pitches in four of five starts. Castillo has allowed just one earned run in 11.1 innings against non-divisional opponents.
Cal Raleigh is a great candidate to again be a main source of offense for the Mariners. He has hit four home runs in the last six games, after belting just two homers in the previous 23. While I wouldn’t put anyone off backing his +292 odds to hit a home run, I’m taking the more conservative route in expecting him to drive in a run, which cashes if he plates himself.
Parlay Odds: +412
Mike Spector is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @MikeSpector01.