There couldn’t have been a better way to start the week. Yesterday, we had a 3-0 sweep, so let’s follow that up with another positive day this Tuesday, April 16. We have a full slate of games to pick through, presenting a bevy of prop options.
Let’s jump into three of my favorite looks via Sleeper Picks.
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Tuesday’s Best MLB Sleeper Picks Player Predictions
Sleeper Record: 25-17
Let’s go back to the well to fade Jose Quintana for a third start in a row. He has struck out four batters in each start this season and has never been known as one to strike out many bats. He owns a 7.95 K/9 for his career, after all. The veteran left-hander is under this line in 27 of his last 38 starts (71%) since 2021. He ranks in the sixth percentile in swinging strike rate and third percentile in CSW% so far this season. Admittedly, the Pirates have struck out a ton against lefties this season, but given the hit rate and advanced numbers, this is a play to the under.
There couldn’t have been a better way to start the week. Yesterday, we had a 3-0 sweep, so let’s follow that up with another positive day this Tuesday, April 16. We have a full slate of games to pick through, presenting a bevy of prop options.
Let’s jump into three of my favorite looks via Sleeper Picks.
Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>
Tuesday’s Best MLB Sleeper Picks Player Predictions
Sleeper Record: 25-17
Let’s go back to the well to fade Jose Quintana for a third start in a row. He has struck out four batters in each start this season and has never been known as one to strike out many bats. He owns a 7.95 K/9 for his career, after all. The veteran left-hander is under this line in 27 of his last 38 starts (71%) since 2021. He ranks in the sixth percentile in swinging strike rate and third percentile in CSW% so far this season. Admittedly, the Pirates have struck out a ton against lefties this season, but given the hit rate and advanced numbers, this is a play to the under.
Unlike last season, the Brewers are off to a hot start in avoiding strikeouts. They’re 20th in K% (21.2%) and second in wRC+ (135) when facing right-handed pitching. Hunter Greene was the only starter to go over this mark against them, but he’s in a league of his own regarding punchouts. Dylan Cease is a well-accomplished strikeout artist himself. However, this line seems a bit too large for his taking. While he has come close to going over this line, Cease has finished with seven, seven and six strikeouts in his three starts this season. Dating back to last year, he is now under this in 26 of his last 36 (72%) starts.
It’s not the best bang for your buck per se, but the Marlins should keep Jordan Hicks in the game long enough to go over this mark. The movement on his stuff is akin to Dustin May’s arsenal. Although that movement didn’t really get him anywhere in the strikeout department in his last start against Washington (two strikeouts), it should in this matchup with Miami. The Marlins have been miserable at the dish this season, with a 62 wRC+ that ranks dead last among all teams. Six of the seven right-handed starters to face them this season have recorded five or more punchouts. Hicks has found five in two of his three starts and ought to be able to strike out at least four in this one.
Make sure to check out our other best bets for Tuesday:
Tyler Gentile is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Tyler, follow him @808Paperboi
