Not only do we have a 16-game slate on the horizon today, but we’ve also got a large handful of afternoon baseball. That’ll keep most of us busy!
I’ve added a bunch of Sleeper App picks that you can consider for your entries today. Let’s have a day!
Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>
Not only do we have a 16-game slate on the horizon today, but we’ve also got a large handful of afternoon baseball. That’ll keep most of us busy!
I’ve added a bunch of Sleeper App picks that you can consider for your entries today. Let’s have a day!
Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>
Saturday’s Best MLB Sleeper Player Picks
Let’s dive into our top MLB Sleeper player picks and predictions for Saturday’s slate of games.
Spencer Arrighetti Under 1.5 Walks (2.25x)
Earlier this season, Spencer Arrighetti had trouble with limiting walks. That’s why he’s walked 10.9% of batters this season.
However, the Astros’ rookie right-hander has dropped his walk rate to 8.2% over the last 30 days, which is above average for Arrighetti.
He’s earning way more strikeouts and handing out way less walks. That said, the Red Sox projected lineup has only walked 5.9% of the time against righties over the last month. Only Wilyer Abreu has walked more than 7.7% in the previous 30 days against righties.
Therefore, we’ll back Arighetti to limit the walks below 2.
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Total Bases (1.89x)
There are still some people out there who believe Jackson Merrill is the NL Rookie of the Year candidate over Paul Skenes. There’s certainly an argument.
Over the last 30 days, Jackson Merrill has hit a .278 ISO and wOBA of .407 against his last 65 righties. The rookie lefty will get to face Miami’s righty, Roddery Munoz.
Munoz has been absolutely terrible against lefties over the last month and throughout the year. He’s allowed a .392 ISO and wOBA of .446 to 143 lefties this season and has given up a .308 ISO and wOBA of .390 to his last 51 lefties. It’s all consistent for Munoz. He stinks against lefties.
Let’s back Merrill to add two total bases against Munoz and the Marlins in today’s ball game.
Corbin Burnes Over 6.5 Ks (1.65x)
Corbin Burnes hasn’t had the highest strikeout rate this season. He’s only added 22.9% of strikeouts this season and has earned just 21.2% of strikeouts over the last month.
But his matchup against the Rays could change that.
The Tampa Bay Rays have struck out 27.3% of the time against righties over the last month. In the lineup, eight of nine batters have struck out at least 22.7% of the time against righties in the previous 30 days.
Beyond that, Burnes has added 26% of strikeouts against righties over the last month, and the Rays figure that there will be more righties than lefties in the lineup.
Therefore, we’ll take a chance with Burnes and hope he can add seven strikeouts. He’s got enough targets to make it happen.
Justin Steele Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (1.55x)
The Cubs left-hander, Justin Steele, has held his last 124 batters to a .119 ISO and wOBA of .302.
He’ll take on a Chicago White Sox projected lineup that has hit a .051 ISO and wOBA of .173 over the last month collectively against lefties. This lineup has also struck out 28.4% of the time and has earned just 5.8% of walks.
Steele should earn a quality start and have a field day against the White Sox lineup.
