The Sleeper App carries a lot of value with some of its player props.
Let’s start the weekend right and add a profitable MLB entry for tonight’s matchups in the MLB.
Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>
The Sleeper App carries a lot of value with some of its player props.
Let’s start the weekend right and add a profitable MLB entry for tonight’s matchups in the MLB.
Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>
Sunday’s Best MLB Sleeper Player Picks
Let’s dive into our top MLB Sleeper player picks and predictions for Saturday’s slate of games.
Jack Flaherty Over 6.5 Strikeouts (1.97x)
In the last 30 days. Los Angeles righty Jack Flaherty has struck out 36.4% of righties. He’s also added 33.1% of strikeouts against righties throughout the season.
Tonight, he’ll battle an Atlanta team that should have more righties in the lineup. Beyond that, the righties in the Atlanta lineup have already struck out 24.4% of the time against righties over the last month.
Even better, the four projected lefties in the Atlanta order have added 24.8% of strikeouts. Plus, the entire lineup has combined to hit just a .124 ISO and wOBA of .256 against righties in the last 30 days.
Flaherty should add a bunch of strikeouts but also looks good to get through at least six innings of work. Back his Over to start this Sleeper entry.
Kyle Freeland Under 3.5 Strikeouts (2.01x)
The Rockies left-hander has struck out only 16.8% of batters over the last month. His rate is down from his seasonal average of 18.3%.
Freeland is in line to face a Cubs lineup that rarely strikes out against lefties. Chicago’s projected lineup has only one batter with a strikeout rate above 22% against lefties. That’s Ian Happ, who has struck out 25% of the time against lefties.
But after him. the entire lineup has a low strikeout rate against lefties. When you combine the projected lineup’s strikeouts against righties, they’ve only struck out 15.6% of the time against lefties in the last month.
We’ll gladly take Freeland to go Under 3.5 Ks at 2.01x.
Joc Pederson Over 1.5 Total Bases (2,07x)
There are many ways you can attack the Brewers-Diamondbacks game.
Tobias Myers is on the bump, and he’s allowed a .196 ISO and wOBA of .355 to his last 58 lefties as a right-handed pitcher. In addition, he’s given up 65% of hard contact to lefties in that time and has allowed 32.5% of fly balls with 25% of line drives.
Joc Pederson is a lefty who has destroyed righties. Pederson has earned a .256 ISO and wOBA of .422 against his last 52 righties and has only struck out 17.3% of the time.
You can also use Corbin Carroll or Pavin Smith, who have also destroyed righties over the last month. Beyond that, you can consider taking Myers to allow 2.5 earned runs.
I’ll stick with Pederson, but again, there are many ways to attack this game.
Joe Musgrove Over 5.5 Strikeouts (1.63x)
Joe Musgrove has added 30.3% of strikeouts against his last 109 batters. He’s also held his previous 109 batters to a .137 ISO and wOBA of .275 with only 5.5% of walks.
Furthermore, he’s added 27.7% of whiffs and has earned more than 13% of swinging strikes. Musgrove is locked in for the Padres.
Conversly, he’ll take on a Giants projected lineup that has struck out 26.7% of the time. Eight batters in the projected lineup have a high strikeout rate against righties. Only Brett Wisley has a low strikeout rate, but he’s hit a .053 ISO and wOBA of .233 against his last 22 righties.
Musgrove should have a massive night on the mound, especially if he continues to free passes like he’s done all year.
