With a full slate of MLB games on the horizon, I’ve added a bunch of Sleeper picks that you’ll want to consider for today’s MLB slate. Make sure to get your entries in early! We have so many afternoon matchups!
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With a full slate of MLB games on the horizon, I’ve added a bunch of Sleeper picks that you’ll want to consider for today’s MLB slate. Make sure to get your entries in early! We have so many afternoon matchups!
Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>
Sunday’s Best MLB Sleeper Player Picks & Predictions
Let’s dive into our top MLB Sleeper player picks and predictions on Sunday’s slate of games.
MacKenzie Gore More Than 6.5 Ks (1.86x)
To begin the season, MacKenzie Gore has struck out 28% of batters. He’s also held teams to a .134 ISO and has only walked 7.3% of batters.
There’s a solid chance he goes pretty deep in today’s game against the Red Sox. Boston has only hit a .120 ISO and wOBA of .331 against lefties this season. In addition, the projected lineup has struck out 27.2% of the time against lefties. Only one batter in the lineup has held his strikeout rate below 20%. Six of the nine batters have struck out at least 25% of the time against lefties.
With six legitimate targets for Gore, let’s back his Over for strikeouts.
Bailey Ober Under 2.5 Earned Runs (1.56x)
Bailey Ober has allowed a little too much power to begin the season. However, the Twins’ righty has also held teams to a .301 wOBA with 24.3% strikeouts and only 5.6% walks. If he does allow some power, it’s unlikely many runners will be on base, if any.
Meanwhile, he’s in line to face a Toronto Blue Jays offense that has only hit a .125 ISO and wOBA of .297 against righties this year. Only Daulton Varsho has hit a high ISO and wOBA against righties this season.
Therefore, I’m on the Under 2.5 Earned Runs for Bailey Ober.
Aaron Judge Over 1.5 Total Bases (1.68x)
The Rays will throw Tyler Alexander for today’s matchup against the Yankees. Alexander, a lefty, has already struggled with righties, allowing a .183 ISO and wOBA of .366 with 32.9% of grounders and 28.9% of fly balls. Alexander has also struck out only 19.2% of righties and has allowed 30.3% of line drives.
This bodes well for Aaron Judge, who has smacked lefties this season. Judge has a .276 ISO and wOBA of .380 against lefties. He’s also walked 27.5% of the time, but you’d have to figure that walk rate will drop eventually. Alexander doesn’t walk many batters, so it’s more likely he’ll try to attack Judge.
Judge should be able to hit an extra-base hit. If not, I still like his chances of getting two hits against Alexander.
Riley Greene Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (1.77x)
I’m usually not in the business of fading Justin Verlander. But he’s allowed a .226 ISO and wOBA of .352 to his first 95 batters this season. He’s not the same this year and likely will never be back to his better days.
That said, he’s taking on a Tigers lineup with four batters in the top five of the order that has had serious success against righties.
Riley Greene will lead things off and bat first. Greene has already hit a .276 ISO and wOBA of .401 against righties, so he’s very likely to get on base. Meanwhile, Wanceel Perez, Kerry Carpenter, and Matt Vierling, who will bat inside the top five of the Detroit order, have all hit an ISO of at least .194. So, if Greene gets on, he’s got a legitimate chance to score with those guys behind him.
