With 15 games on today’s MLB slate, there are so many Sleeper prop bets to choose from. I know it can get a bit overwhelming to look through each game and decide on a handful of MLB Sleeper player props.
Therefore, I’ve done the work for you. Here’s a handful of bets you’ll want to consider on the MLB Sleeper app for your entries.
Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>
With 15 games on today’s MLB slate, there are so many Sleeper prop bets to choose from. I know it can get a bit overwhelming to look through each game and decide on a handful of MLB Sleeper player props.
Therefore, I’ve done the work for you. Here’s a handful of bets you’ll want to consider on the MLB Sleeper app for your entries.
Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>
Sunday’s Best MLB Sleeper Player Picks & Predictions
Let’s dive into our top MLB Sleeper player picks and predictions on Sunday’s slate of games.
Matthew Liberatore More Than .5 Walks (1.32x)
Matthew Liberatore has already walked 9.7% of batters this season. While he’s done well at limiting walks to lefties, he’s still allowed 6.1% of walks to lefties and 11.7% of walks to righties.
Liberatore figures to face seven righties in today’s Red Sox lineup. Meanwhile, Boston’s projected lineup has walked 10.3% of the time. Romy Gonzalez, Rob Refsnyder, Tyler O’Neill, Rafael Devers, and Jarren Duran have walked more than 12% of the time against lefties this season.
Yet, all we need is one walk from Liberatore. I’m in.
George Kirby Under .5 Walks (2.50x)
I’ll attack the same market here. However, I’m going in a different direction with George Kirby. Kirby has only thrown 2.5% of walks this season. He’s held lefties to 3.8% of walks and righties to 1% of walks.
He’s incredible at limiting walks. Last season, after facing 757 batters, he only walked 2.4% of batters.
That said, he’s facing an Orioles lineup that has walked 6.2% of the time against righties. Only Ryan O’Hearn and Colton Cowser have above-average walk rates against righties. The other seven have had a low amount of walks against righties. This all favors Kirby to limit walks to none in today’s game.
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Total Bases (1.98x)
Chris Flexen will take the hill for the White Sox today. He’s taking on a Yankees lineup with a bunch of left-handed sluggers with wild potential.
After all, Flexen has allowed a .308 ISO and wOBA of .369 to his first 56 lefties this season. He’s also struck out lefties just 16.1% of the time this year.
That plays well into Juan Soto’s numbers. Soto has hit a .224 ISO and wOBA of .408 with 14.5% of strikeouts against righties this season. The left-handed slugger has also smacked 64.4% of hard contact and has hit a 19.2% barrel percentage. Let’s back Soto to add two total bases tonight.
Aaron Civale Under 5.5 Hits (1.71x)
It’ll be Aaron Civale for the Rays tonight. Civale has struck out 24.6% of batters and has limited walks to 6%. However, he’s still allowed a .183 ISO and wOBA of .329 to his first 199 batters.
Last season, he held teams to a .127 ISO and wOBA of .291 and had similar analytics to the previous year’s season. Therefore, I wouldn’t be surprised to see Civale improve his numbers down the line.
Today, he’ll face a Blue Jays lineup that has hit a .124 ISO and wOBA of .294 with 22.3% of strikeouts against righties this season. Only Davis Schneider and Daulton Varsho have hit for consistent power against righties. Therefore, I’ll take Civale to allow under 5.5 hits today.
