We’re hunting for some value NBA picks today. You’ll want to check out BettingPros’ Market Based EV page to add a bunch of high-level value bets to your betting portfolio. Ultimately, I picked out three that you’ll want to consider and shared them below.
Follow along and consider using the Market Based EV tool to add even more sports bets to your betting portfolio.
Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>
Sunday’s Best Market Based EV NBA Picks
(All bets are for one unit unless otherwise stated)
Quentin Grimes Under 2.5 Rebounds (+117 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Fair Value: -108
- Market EV: 13%
Quentin Grimes has added at least three rebounds in three consecutive games leading up to tonight. However, Grimes has played no more than 23 minutes in three of his last five games.
In addition, he’ll face the Boston Celtics, who rank fifth in the NBA in defensive rebounds allowed to point guards this season. Grimes also saw a usage rate of just 8% against Orlando. If he’s not scoring much, the Sixers could end up sitting Grimes for most of this game anyway.
Let’s grab that DraftKings Sportsbook value with Grimes at +117. The fair market value is -108. This is the best play on the board as of right now.
Royce O’Neale Under 1.5 Made Three-Pointers (+155 at Caesars Sportsbook)
- Fair Value: +138
- Market EV: 7%
Royce O’Neale has drained at least two threes in three of his last four games. He attempted 10 threes last time out against the Warriors. Still, he’s about to face a Thunder team ranked third in the NBA in field goal rate. Oklahoma City is known for being one of the best defenses in the NBA. They’ve held O’Neale to no more than one three-pointer in two of the last three games.
Caesars Sportsbook has a +155 line for the under, while the fair market value is currently +138. That gets the juices flowing. Take the under.
Luguentz Dort Under 1.5 Made Three-Pointers (+115 at PartyCasino)
- Fair Value: +105
- Market EV: +5%
We’ll also want to take the Luguentz Dort under for threes made tonight. He’s drained at least two threes in five of his last five games. However, he hasn’t attempted more than five threes in any of his last five games.
The Suns rank fourth in the NBA in three-point field goal rate allowed to small forwards. Ultimately, if Dort lacks volume, he could have trouble getting to at least two threes tonight.
The market value for this line is +105, yet PartyCasino is carrying it at +115. You’ll want to grab that line if it’s still available.
