The momentum stopped after last night’s picks. However, if we stay consistent day to day, we’ll see profits come in. Consider tonight’s three bets using BettingPros’ Market Based EV page. Let’s get after it!
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Wednesday’s Best +EV NBA Picks (4/21)
(All bets are for one unit unless otherwise stated)
Isaiah Stewart Over 3.5 Rebounds (-120 at BetMGM)
- Fair Value: -124
- Market EV: +1%
Isaiah Stewart has added at least four rebounds in eight of his last ten games, including in Game 1 against Orlando. He had nine rebound chances and totaled four rebounds in the loss. Additionally, he played 18.9 minutes and still had nine rebound chances.
In fact, he’s averaged nearly five rebounds per game against the Magic over his last eight games against Orlando. He’s hit this line in seven of his last eight meetings against Orlando.
Overall, Stewart has nailed this line in 69% of games this season. He’s had success against the Magic in the rebound category throughout his career. Take his Over despite the market EV only at 1%.
Dillon Brooks Over 1.5 Threes (-150 at Party Casino)
- Fair Value: -159
- Market EV: +2%
Dillon Brooks has performed strongly from three-point range over the last few games. He’s nailed at least two long balls in three consecutive games and has hit this line in four of his last five games. He also added three three-pointers against the Thunder in Game 1 of the series after taking ten three-point attempts in 32.3 minutes of game action.
Brooks has hit this line in 68% of games this season and has averaged 2.4 threes in his last 12 meetings against the Thunder. Ultimately, he’s hit this line in ten of his last 12 games against the Thunder.
The fair market value is at -159, but at Party Casino, you can add this line at -150. It’s a strong play for tonight.
Devin Booker Under 4.5 Rebounds (-125 at Hard Rock)
- Fair Value: -130
- Market EV: +2%
Devin Booker has hauled in at least six rebounds in back-to-back games, including Game 1 of the series against the Thunder. Still, he’s only added at least five rebounds in 34% of games this season and has hit this line in only four of his last ten games.
He’s averaged 8.8 rebound chances per game over the last ten games. However, he’s averaged fewer than four rebounds per game this season, despite nearly eight rebound chances per game. He grabs about half of his rebound chances. If he gets below eight chances tonight, it’ll be a struggle for Booker to land at least five rebounds.
