With two games on tonight’s slate, you’ve got to check out the Market Based EV page for the best value on the betting board. I shared my three best NBA picks for tonight using the tool below.
Follow along and consider using the Market Based EV tool to add even more sports bets to your betting portfolio for Friday, May 8th.
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Friday’s Best +EV NBA Picks
(All bets are for one unit unless otherwise stated.)
Mikal Bridges Over 4.5 Rebounds (+135 at Hard Rock Bet)
- Fair Value: +126
- Market EV: +4%
Mikal Bridges finished with five rebounds in Game 2 of this series. He played nearly 38 minutes and had the most rebound chances he’s had in the playoffs to date.
Bridges has pulled in at least five rebounds in two of his last three games. With OG Anunoby potentially out, Bridges will have to step up on the glass. Right now, his line is set at +135 at Hard Rock Bet, but the fair value is only +126. That’s a 4% positive expected value play you’ll want to attack tonight.
Josh Hart Over 4.5 Assists (-120 at BetMGM)
- Fair Value: -130
- Market EV: +4%
Josh Hart has added six assists in back-to-back games against the Philadelphia 76ers. He had four turnovers in Game 2, but that proves how much the ball was in his hands.
In his last 19 games against the 76ers, Hart has hit this line in 12 of them. He’s also nailed at least six assists in six consecutive games against the 76ers, dating back to the regular season and games before that.
You can find his line at -120 at BetMGM, even though the fair value is -130. Here’s another 4% play to attack.
De’Aaron Fox Under 3.5 Rebounds (+105 at BetMGM)
- Fair Value: +102
- Market EV: +1%
De’Aaron Fox finished with zero rebounds against Minnesota in Game 2. Ultimately, he hasn’t added more than three rebounds in three straight games and has hit this line in only four of his last 11 games against the Timberwolves.
This isn’t a massive play, but it’s good enough to take a look. You can find Fox to go under 3.5 rebounds at +105 odds at BetMGM, when the fair value is just at +102. It’s a 1% positive expected value play. But it certainly has some wheels. Fox hasn’t performed well on the glass lately.
