We’re hunting for some value in the NBA tonight. With help from our BettingPros Market-Based EV page, we found some really exciting positive-EV NBA picks for tonight. Let’s get right to it!
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Monday’s Best +EV NBA Picks
(All bets are for one unit unless otherwise stated)
Duncan Robinson Over 2.5 Rebounds (+125 at Hard Rock)
- Fair Value: +119
- Market EV: +3%
Duncan Robinson has one game against the Magic with six rebounds. In the other two games of this postseason series, Robinson has no rebounds and no rebound chances. He’s added at least three rebounds in only three of his last ten games.
However, he’s still competing against a Magic team that ranks 29th in total rebounds allowed to small forwards this season. Robinson has averaged 2.4 rebounds against the Magic in his last 14 games against them.
The current market value is set at +119, but at Hard Rock, you can land a +125 bet. That’s value!
Chet Holmgren Over 1.5 Threes Made (+115 at DraftKings)
- Fair Value: +107
- Market EV: +4%
Chet Holmgren finished his last game against the Suns without hitting a three-pointer. He only took one attempt in 29.3 minutes. Holmgren hasn’t been a great shooter from downtown over the last ten games. However, before his lackluster performance from three in Game 3, he attempted six three-pointers in the previous two games. That’s more like him. If he can find more three-point attempts, the threes will fall.
You can land this bet at +115 using DraftKings. The fair value is currently at +107, giving this a market +EV of 4%.
Bones Hyland Over 3.5 Assists (+105 at DraftKings)
- Fair Value: -104
- Market EV: +4%
Bones Hyland will be used more in this postseason. With Anthony Edwards and Donte DiVincenzo out, Hyland will need to step up. He added seven assists against the Nuggets in Game 4 and will surely have the ball in his hands a lot in Game 5.
DraftKings has Hyland Over 3.5 assists at +105, but the fair value is at -104. This is a big-time play, especially after he’s coming off a seven-assist performance in his last game. Grab Hyland to add at least four assists tonight.
