The Market-based EV page is showing a ton of valuable props for tonight’s Game 7 matchup between the San Antonio Spurs and Oklahoma City Thunder. There’s no better way to get in on the action than by adding positive expected value props to the betting portfolio. Let’s have a night!
Follow along and consider using the Market Based EV tool to add even more bets for Saturday, May 30th.
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Thursday’s Best +EV NBA Picks
(All bets are for one unit unless otherwise stated.)
Jared McCain Over 2.5 Threes Made (+175 at Hard Rock)
- Fair Value: +156
- Market EV: +8%
Jared McCain has drained at least three three-pointers in five of his last 10 games. Yet, you can land his Over 2.5 Threes prop at +175 odds. That’s strong value for someone who has taken 12 three-pointers in the last two games combined.
His fair value is currently +156, making it an 8% market EV play. That’s one of the strongest plays you’ll see on the betting board tonight!
Kenrich Williams Over 0.5 Assists (+120 at BetMGM)
- Fair Value: +108
- Market EV: +6%
Kenrich Williams has had two games with at least two assists in his last three games. In fact, he’s added at least one assist in 64 percent of the games he’s played in this season. He likely won’t get a ton of minutes in tonight’s Game 7 matchup, but the Thunder have proven they’re OK with playing bench for many spurts.
Anyway, you can land him to add at least one assist at +120 odds. That’s a 6% positive expected-value play, since the fair value is +120 for this play. Go find this bet at BetMGM before it’s gone!
Jaylin Williams Over 4.5 Rebounds (+107 at Caesars)
- Fair Value: -102
- Market EV: +5%
Jaylin Williams came to play in Game 6, adding nine rebounds on 11 rebound chances in 25.6 minutes of action. The expectation is that Williams will see another 20+ minutes of game action. In a Game 7, there’s usually even more defense played.
Meanwhile, Williams is +107 to add Over 4.5 rebounds at Caesars. The fair value for this play is at -102, giving this a market EV of 5%. This is another strong play that you’ll want to consider adding to your betting portfolio tonight.


