The momentum stopped after last night’s picks. However, if we stay consistent day to day, we’ll see profits come in. Consider tonight’s three NBA picks using BettingPros’ Market Based EV page. Let’s get after it.
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Thursday’s Best NBA Picks
(All bets are for one unit unless otherwise stated)
Josh Hart Over 4.5 Assists (+110 at BetRivers)
- Fair Value: +104
- Market EV: +3%
Josh Hart has totaled at least five assists in back-to-back games to begin the postseason series against the Hawks. In addition, he earned 10 potential assists in Game 2 of this series and has averaged 5.6 potential assists per game over the last 10 games.
Hart should see 35+ minutes tonight. He’s played at least 35 minutes in both postseason games so far.
Ultimately, the fair market value for this bet is sitting at +104, but at BetRivers, you can grab it at +110 right now. That’s a 3% advantage that you’ll want to take advantage of while it’s still on the board.
Karl-Anthony Towns Under 11.5 Rebounds (-104 at BetMGM)
- Fair Value: +125
- Market EV: +2%
Karl-Anthony Towns has been inconsistent in the playoffs. He’s had good numbers throughout the series, but shuts off at random times. Towns hasn’t put together a full game. He has hauled in no more than eight rebounds in each of his first two games against the Hawks in this series.
Towns has missed this line in five of his last seven games against Atlanta. Bet on Towns to go under 11.5 rebounds at -104 odds via BetMGM, where you’ll earn 2% positive expected value.
Naz Reid Over 1.5 Three-Pointers Made (+100 at Hard Rock Bet)
- Fair Value: -115
- Market EV: +7%
Naz Reid hasn’t drilled at least two threes in either game of this series against the Denver Nuggets. He’s only attempted five threes combined in those two games. Still, over the last 10 games, including the playoffs, Reid has averaged 5.2 three-point attempts per game.
Reid has shot at least 50% from downtown in two of his last four games and has averaged more than four threes per game in his last 19 games against the Nuggets.
This is one of the best plays on the market EV page. Hard Rock Bet is carrying this bet at +100 when the fair market is currently at -115. Lock this bet in while you can.
