It’s been an exciting week using BettingPros Market Based EV page. If we stay consistent daily and grab some of the best value on the board, profit will follow.
Follow along and consider using the Market Based EV tool to add even more sports bets to your betting portfolio for Wednesday, April 29.
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Wednesday’s Best +EV NBA Picks
(All bets are for one unit unless otherwise stated)
Wendell Carter Jr. Over 8.5 Rebounds (+110 at Bet MGM)
- Fair Value: +100
- Market EV: +5%
Wendell Carter Jr. has added at least 11 rebounds in back-to-back games. In fact, he’s earned 28 rebounds combined in his last two games and has had a remarkable 53 rebound opportunities in just under 71 minutes of game action.
Despite his last two games, MGM is still giving up +110 odds when the fair value is at +100. That’s a positive market EV of 5%, and a play you’ll truly want to consider tonight while you can.
James Harden Over 2.5 Threes Made (-111 at Party Casino)
- Fair Value: -119
- Market EV: +3%
James Harden watched a three-game streak with at least three three-pointers end in Game 4 of this series. Still, he’s nailed at least three three-pointers in six of his last ten games and has shot close to 39% from three during that stretch.
Additionally, he’s taken 7.4 threes per game over the last ten games and has attempted at least six threes in every game against the Raptors in this series.
This season, Harden has averaged 3.1 threes per game and has hit this line in 61% of games.
Tonight, you can land Harden to drill three three-pointers at -111 using Party Casino when the fair value is sitting at -119. That’s some real value right there!
Luke Kennard Over 2.5 Assists (-115 at Hard Rock Bet)
- Fair Value: -130
- Market EV: +6%
Luke Kennard has had five games with at least seven potential assists in his last ten games. The ball might not be in his hands as much with Austin Reaves back, but he’s still going to get minutes with Luka Doncic on the sidelines.
Kennard has hit at least three assists in seven of his last ten games. He’s also hit at least two assists in every game against the Rockets. So far in this series, he’s nailed this bet and then lost. It’s been a seesaw. If the seesaw continues, Kennard will add at least three assists tonight.
At -115, it’s no-brainer. The fair value for this bet is currently -130. Take advantage of Hard Rock and grab the Over 2.5 assists line at -115.
