I have hit seven of my 12 main Anytime Touchdown (ATD) picks and profited every week thus far. Even more promising, six of the seven players have scored multiple touchdowns. I am not officially tracking the multiples, but needless to say, sprinkling those in has worked out quite nicely. The only negative so far is that I haven’t hit any of my longshot ATD bets. But anyone tailing and sizing those bets based on my recommendations has been able to mitigate the damage. That said, the grind never stops. So here are some of my favorite Week 4 Anytime Touchdown picks.
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Week 4 NFL Anytime Touchdown Bets
(All bets one unit, unless otherwise stated)
Parker Washington (WR – JAX) | +145 at Fanatics
Heading into the season, there was plenty of debate as to who was Jacksonville's number-one wide receiver. If the first three weeks are any indication, the answer is clear. His name is Parker Washington, and I am betting he scores a touchdown in Week 4.
Trevor Lawrence has targeted Washington 23 times so far this season. All other Jaguars wideouts have been targeted 28 times. It is easy to see why Washington has been featured when digging into the numbers. His 2.91 yards per route run is seventh-best among 77 wide receivers with at least 10 targets this season. Washington has already scored twice this year, which is especially encouraging given that he has not caught either of his two targets inside the opponents' 10-yard line. Only nine wide receivers in the NFL have earned more than two targets inside the 10. Washington is heavily featured in the red zone and has a very good Week 4 matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals.
Cincinnati's defense has improved compared to recent years. However, they allowed three Steelers wide receivers to score a week ago. The Bengals will also be without slot cornerback Jalen Davis for this game. Davis has given up 105 receiving yards on 90 snaps defending the slot, but the combination of Dax Hill and DJ Ivey has been much more forgiving. They have permitted 57 yards in just 36 snaps in the slot. I expect Lawrence to challenge both players when lined up against Washington.
Despite two improved defensive units, the offenses should do plenty of damage. Vegas projects this contest to be the highest-scoring on Sunday's slate. Both teams have former number-one overall draft picks under center and plenty of firepower. Given that backdrop and Washington's results and matchup, he is one of my favorite ATD picks on Sunday's slate.
Isaiah Likely (TE – NYG) | +290 at DraftKings | *0.5U
Anytime you can make an ATD bet on a player from a team that hasn't scored a touchdown in two straight games, you've got to do it. All jokes aside, I do think this week's game is a get-right spot for the New York Giants, and specifically tight end Isaiah Likely.
Despite Likely’s inability to find the end zone over the last two weeks, he remains a focal point of New York's passing offense. Likely has been targeted 15 times across those two games. No other Giant has earned more than 10 targets in that span. The opportunities have been there. Now Likely and Jameis Winston need to execute.
Last week I highlighted Arizona's struggles in defending the tight end position this year when I listed George Kittle as an ATD bet. Kittle went on to score twice in that game. While we don't need Likely to score multiple times, he did so in Week 1. He is one of only eight tight ends to score two touchdowns in a game this season. That upside shouldn’t be ignored in this matchup.
Likely's last two matchups against the Los Angeles Rams and Tennessee Titans have not been ideal for tight end production. However, Pro Football Focus grades Arizona's linebacker group as the league's third-worst coverage unit, while their safeties are sixth-worst. I expect Likely’s production to catch up to his target share and I believe he will score on Sunday.
James Cook (RB – BUF) | -125 at BetMGM
The Buffalo Bills enter the Week 4 Sunday slate with the NFL's top-scoring offense. This week they will host the New England Patriots. New England has profiled as a run-funnel defensive unit thus far this year. The Patriots are currently fourth in the NFL in expected points added (EPA) against the pass. Still, they rank just 27th in the same metric in run defense. Buffalo leads the league in rushing touchdowns while ranking third in yards per carry and fourth in total rushing yards. This looks like a matchup that is tailored directly to Buffalo's offensive strengths. While quarterback Josh Allen leads the team with six rushing touchdowns, I expect James Cook to have a better chance of scoring on Sunday.
As good as Allen has been at punching in short touchdown runs, he hasn’t rushed for a score against New England since 2023. Cook, meanwhile, has scored five total touchdowns in the three games he and Allen have played together against the Patriots since the start of the 2024 season. To be fair, there could be some variance in those numbers, but it seems that New England's primary focus is limiting Allen's impact down by the goal line.
The Patriots will also be without interior defensive lineman Christian Barmore for this game. This loss could boost Cook's outlook even further. While Milton Williams has been solid in run defense, Cory Durden and DaQuan Jones have really struggled. I believe Buffalo will exploit this advantage and find holes for Cook to run through. Overall, there is a lot to like here, so I am betting James Cook to score at least one touchdown in this game.
Rashee Rice (WR – KC) | +165 at BetMGM | *0.8U
I'm not sure if too many predicted that Sunday's Week 4 game between the Kansas City Chiefs and Las Vegas Raiders would feature two undefeated teams. Yet, this should make for an entertaining matchup. Regardless of which team ends up on top, I am rolling with Rashee Rice to score at least one touchdown.
The Raiders have yet to give up a touchdown catch to a wide receiver this year. However, it is not as if primary wideouts have disappeared versus Las Vegas. Caleb Douglas and Chris Olave averaged seven catches for over 100 yards in their games against the Raiders.
Last year, Rice earned nine opportunities (targets plus carries) inside the opponents' five-yard line in just eight games. That was bound to regress in 2026, especially once the Chiefs signed Kenneth Walker III. Having said that, it seems like the pendulum has swung too far in the opposite direction. Rice has yet to earn an opportunity inside the five so far this season. I expect that to change as his overall involvement continues to increase.
After being targeted just twice in Week 1, Rice earned six targets in Week 2 and nine last week. Patrick Mahomes only threw the ball 24 times last week, so the uptick in Rice's targets was a very positive sign. I believe Kansas City will find ways to create opportunities for Rice to operate by the goal line. Rice has scored in nine of his last 15 regular season games, so I view this ATD bet as closer to even money. I was happy to grab it at +165 and altered my bet size accordingly, but as always, adjust all bets as you see fit.
Longshot Anytime Touchdown Bet: Mitchell Evans (TE – CAR) | +900 at TheScoreBet | *0.4U
Sunday's matchup between the Carolina Panthers and Detroit Lions pits two of the highest-scoring offenses against two questionable defenses. This matchup should feature plenty of offense, and the star players should thrive. However, I like a longshot in this game and I am taking Mitchell Evans to score for the Panthers.
The Lions have been incredibly poor at defending opposing tight ends. They have allowed multiple tight ends to score against them in each of their three games played. Darren Waller (+300 at Fanatics) is a solid option, but I think Evans offers a bit more value.
Among Panthers tight ends, Waller leads the way with 13 targets. Tommy Tremble follows with 10, while Evans has six. However, Evans has the only target inside the five-yard line among that group this season. That is not a fluke. Evans had the only three targets inside the five last year for Carolina. He converted two of those into touchdowns.
Detroit has allowed backup tight ends to score short touchdowns in each of their last two games. Dawson Knox caught a 1-yard touchdown in Week 2, while Jeremy Ruckert scored from four yards out last week. At these odds, it is worth seeing if Evans can continue that trend.
