The NFL's Week 10 opens up with an AFC North battle between the Bengals (4-5) and Ravens (6-3) on Thursday Night Football. There's no shortage of ways to get in on the action, including heading over to PrizePicks. Below I've listed my three favorite player predictions. If you opt for the Power Play, this trio nets a +500 payout.
Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET from M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD.
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The NFL's Week 10 opens up with an AFC North battle between the Bengals (4-5) and Ravens (6-3) on Thursday Night Football. There's no shortage of ways to get in on the action, including heading over to PrizePicks. Below I've listed my three favorite player predictions. If you opt for the Power Play, this trio nets a +500 payout.
Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET from M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD.
Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>
Thursday’s Best NFL PrizePicks Player Predictions: Bengals vs. Ravens
Let's start with Lamar Jackson, who has amassed 505 rushing yards from the quarterback position this year. The reigning MVP has picked up those yards on 84 carries, which equates to a yards-per-carry average of 6.0. That's his highest mark since 2020. Through nine games this year, the 505 yards translate to an average of 56.1 rushing yards per game.
Jackson has cleared this threshold of 49.5 rushing yards in five of his nine games this year, including going for 55 yards against the Bengals on the road back in their Week 5 41-38 overtime thriller. Dating back to January of 2021, Jackson has gained 50+ rushing yards in all six games against the Bengals (97, 88, 58, 54, 54, 55).
Being that Cincinnati's defense is a bottom-half team in terms of yards allowed per game, ranking 19th (342.9), I expect Jackson to find plenty of success in this game. Give me Jackson to reach 50+ rushing yards on the ground.
My initial lean was for Joe Burrow to clear this total of 270.5 passing yards, since he did so earlier in the year in their 41-38 overtime loss, going for 392 yards through the air. However, there were a couple of outlier plays to Ja'Marr Chase, where he scored on 41- and 70-yard plays. I'm not saying that this can't happen again, but there's no denying they're outlier data points that helped drive his total higher.
Instead, I think this is a good time to buy back on the less than at this elevated total. Burrow hasn't eclipsed this number in his last four games (208, 181, 234, 251), which means the Week 5 contest against the Ravens was the last time he did so. Burrow has come in under this total in seven of his nine games this season.
In terms of the head-to-head history, Burrow has finished less than this number in five of his last six meetings with Baltimore, averaging only 226.0 passing yards over the six-game sample size. Give me the less than for Burrow's passing yards on Thursday night.
Just because I don't expect Joe Burrow to clear 270.5 passing yards, doesn't mean I think it'll be a complete disaster for the quarterback. This is a good matchup out wide for Ja'Marr Chase and the Cincinnati receiving group. As we saw in Week 5, Chase shredded the Ravens, hauling in 10 passes (on 12 targets) for 193 yards and two touchdowns. He's scored in five of his nine games this year, His seven receiving touchdowns lead the NFL. I'll take Chase to add to that total on Thursday night.
As I was alluding to, this Ravens defense isn't nearly as potent as years past. Specifically, it's their pass defense that's lagging. Baltimore is ranked 19th in completion rate against (66.4%), 28th in yards allowed per pass attempt (7.9) and 26th in yards after the catch allowed (1,052 yards). Most importantly, Baltimore’s defense has conceded the third-most passing touchdowns this year (18). Chase is dynamic enough to expose this defense again. I expect to see him find paydirt on Thursday.
