The Chiefs shouldn’t meet much resistance against the lowly Broncos. The nearly-certain negative game script for Denver is influential for the first suggested pick. The matchup is the influence for the second and third options.
Here are my best PrizePicks player predictions for Week 6, “Thursday Night Football,” Broncos vs. Chiefs.
Check out all of our predictions using our PrizePicks cheat sheet >>
The Chiefs shouldn’t meet much resistance against the lowly Broncos. The nearly-certain negative game script for Denver is influential for the first suggested pick. The matchup is the influence for the second and third options.
Here are my best PrizePicks player predictions for Week 6, “Thursday Night Football,” Broncos vs. Chiefs.
Check out all of our predictions using our PrizePicks cheat sheet >>
Best TNF Week 6 PrizePicks Player Predictions
Javonte Williams UNDER 38.5 Rushing Yards
Javonte Williams should return from a one-week absence with an injury last week. However, he hasn’t been impressive this year, and UDFA Jaleel McLaughlin has played well, potentially turning Denver’s backfield into a three-back committee.
In addition, the Broncos are 10.5-point underdogs. Thus, they’ll be in a negative game script and forced to play catch-up if the game goes according to the betting odds, decreasing Williams’s opportunities to amass rushing yards.
Williams cleared 38.5 rushing yards in all three of his non-injury-shortened games this year. However, his rushing production dipped from 52 yards in Week 1 to 44 and 42 in Week 2 and Week 3. Thus, Williams is projected for only 37.2 rushing yards at FantasyPros.
Isiah Pacheco OVER 12.5 Receiving Yards
Isiah Pacheco is a quality pass-catching back with a cupcake matchup on the docket. The second-year running back is averaging 19.8 receiving yards per game, with a median of 16.0 receiving yards. He’s also bested 12.5 receiving yards three times this year.
Pacheco’s role in the passing game is rock-solid lately. Per Pro Football Focus (PFF), Pacheco ran 42 routes versus 37 for Jerick McKinnon since Week 3. Finally, according to The 33rd Team, running backs are averaging 51.2 receiving yards per game against the Broncos this year. As a result, FantasyPros is projecting 15.3 receiving yards for Pacheco.
Justin Watson OVER 23.5 Receiving Yards
Justin Watson is a vertical weapon. His usage will result in some duds. However, Watson has a perfect matchup for his vertical usage.
According to PFF, Denver’s opponents have completed an absurd 11 of 15 deep passes (20-plus air yards) for 356 yards this season. Additionally, the Broncos had the 11th-highest man-coverage rate before Week 5. Meanwhile, Watson caught all four of his targets against man coverage this year for 123 receiving yards.
Finally, Watson has thrived in his lid-lifter role this year, averaging 43.8 receiving yards per game with a median of 51, exceeding 23.5 receiving yards four times. So, Watson’s over for 23.5 receiving yards is an inviting selection on PrizePicks.
Make sure to check out our other best bets for Thursday:
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Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.
