We're onto Week 11 of the NFL season. The action begins on Thursday night with a divisional clash between the Washington Commanders (7-3) and the Philadelphia Eagles (7-2).
Philadelphia is a 3-to-3.5-point home favorite, while the total is sitting around 49 points. I'm heading the PrizePicks route for this NFC East contest. I've narrowed in on three player predictions for Thursday's game. This trio provides a 4.5x multiplier if you opt for the PrizePicks Power Play.
Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET from Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, PA.
Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>
We're onto Week 11 of the NFL season. The action begins on Thursday night with a divisional clash between the Washington Commanders (7-3) and the Philadelphia Eagles (7-2).
Philadelphia is a 3-to-3.5-point home favorite, while the total is sitting around 49 points. I'm heading the PrizePicks route for this NFC East contest. I've narrowed in on three player predictions for Thursday's game. This trio provides a 4.5x multiplier if you opt for the PrizePicks Power Play.
Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET from Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, PA.
Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>
NFL Thursday Night Football PrizePicks Predictions: Commanders vs. Eagles
I expect the Eagles to absolutely destroy the Commanders in this Thursday Night Football contest. While Jayden Daniels has looked excellent this season, I simply don't like this spot for him. It's the first Thursday Night Football game of his career, and he doesn't exactly draw the easiest of matchups against a Philly team riding a five-game win streak.
Furthermore, Philadelphia's defense has sneakily been one of the best in the NFL this year. Specifically, their pass defense has been exceptional. They're ranked third in the league in passing yards allowed per game (173.4) while boasting the fourth-lowest opposing completion percentage (60.7%). The Eagles are blitzing at the seventh-lowest rate (20.8%) this year, which means they typically have a full contingent of defensive backs and linebackers dropping into coverage. Daniels has failed to eclipse this total in three of his last four games. I expect that trend to continue on Thursday.
I'm looking to fade Washington's pass attack in this game. This play on Noah Brown's less than feels somewhat correlated to the above-mentioned Daniels prediction. Brown is the 71st-best receiver this year in terms of yardage (351 yards) while ranking 98th in catches (25). He only has 38 targets, which equates to just 4.8 targets per game.
Just a couple more metrics on Philadelphia's pass defense for you. The Eagles allow the fewest amount of yards per pass attempt (6.1) while ranking fifth in yards per completion (10.0). I think it's going to be a long night at the office for the Washington passing attack, so I'll play this less than on Noah Brown's longest reception. He has hit the less than on this prediction line in four out of his nine games in 2024-25.
Saquon Barkley is having no issue adjusting to his new team this year. The running back has been a workhorse, amassing 171 carries (third) and 991 yards (second), which translates to 5.8 yards per carry. This is another favorable matchup for the 27-year-old, as he draws a Washington defense conceding 142.7 rushing yards per game (28th). In terms of yards per attempt, they're just 30th (4.9).
Barkley's rushing line at PrizePicks is 93.5, which is pretty lofty. So, I am going to instead opt to play his rushing + receiving line (110.5), which will give us some versatility in how he accumulates yards. The Philly workhorse has cleared 110.5 combined yards in seven of his nine games this year. He's averaging 127.7 combined rushing and receiving yards this season. I anticipate Barkley having another monster game - give me his more than.
