Last week, I suggested grabbing the Colts at +10 before Jeff Saturday’s debut. That line has now shifted to +7.
I also acknowledged taking the Jets at +4.5 last weekend. The line moved to +3.5 for the Jets.
And lastly, I stated that it would be a good idea to back the Commanders at -2.5 before their game against the Eagles, knowing they had a chance to pull off an upset on Monday Night Football. The Commanders are now -3.
We had a successful week last week, bringing in some positive expected value for Week 11.
Let’s try and do the same for Week 12.
(Odds courtesy DraftKings Sportsbook)
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New York Giants vs. Dallas Cowboys
The Dallas Cowboys are getting a lot of love for losing to the Green Bay Packers last week. Aaron Rodgers could barely throw the ball, yet the Cowboys found a way to lose to the Packers.
Heading into Week 11, the Giants will take on the Detroit Lions, while the Cowboys have to face the Minnesota Vikings.
There’s a legitimate chance that the Giants will beat Detroit and the Cowboys will lose to the Vikings on Sunday.
Could that move the Giants down to -6.5 or even lower for their rivalry matchup next week? I think so.
Back the Giants at +7 on the road against the Cowboys.
Bet: Giants +7 (-115)
Baltimore Ravens vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
The Baltimore Ravens are currently 13-point favorites against the Carolina Panthers on Sunday. They’ll take on the Jacksonville Jaguars the following week, in Week 12.
If the Ravens cover that spread and win by multiple touchdowns, we all know that more money will pour on the Ravens, even on the road, against an underwhelming Jacksonville Jaguars team.
The Jaguars are on a bye week this week, but again, as long as the Ravens cover the spread against Carolina, a bet at +4 for the Ravens will have you in great shape heading into the following week.
Bet: Ravens +4 (-110)
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Tennessee Titans
The Titans and Bengals were both incredible last season. When those two matched up in the playoffs, the Bengals defeated the Titans, 19-16, in the NFL Divisional Round.
Tennessee got better defensively but worse offensively. Meanwhile, the Bengals are still without a key piece to their offense in Ja’Marr Chase.
The Bengals figure to have an underwhelming performance against the Pittsburgh Steelers this week, who have T.J. Watt back. Meanwhile, the Titans probably won’t see much offense against the Green Bay Packers. They’ll just run with Derrick Henry for most of the game and hope the defense can do enough against the Packers.
Therefore, I’m looking at the total of this game. It’s sitting at 43. I’d back the under and think that number will start to trend down by next week.
Bet: Under 43 (-110)
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