Week 2 saw three NFC South teams move to 2-0, while the Cincinnati Bengals, Los Angeles Chargers, and Minnesota Vikings all moved to 0-2. Will these teams be over- or undervalued this week? And injuries have taken down numerous big-name players. How could these absences impact this week's long-shot bets?
Here are the best long-shot bets of Week 3 of the NFL season.
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Best NFL Week 3 Longshot Bets
Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook
Deshaun Watson Over 300 Passing Yards (+550)
Watson hasn't looked like a good quarterback this season. He's completed just 55.1% of his passes for 389 yards, and he has more turnovers than total touchdowns thus far. Yet, this could be his week for a breakout game.
The Tennessee Titans’ defense has looked impressive so far this season, but they have given up a lot of passing yards. Through two weeks, they're allowing an average of 305.0 per game, and that's not just because they faced Justin Herbert last week. Herbert actually only threw for 305 yards last week, the exact same amount Derek Carr threw for the week before.
With Nick Chubb done for the season, the Cleveland Browns don't have a choice but to rely on Watson for the remainder of the year. Jerome Ford looked good in the time he saw last week, but the Titans are only allowing 65.0 rushing yards per game.
Everyone is writing off Watson, yet, this actually a favorable matchup for him. At +550, this is well worth a wager.
Jordan Addison 100+ Receiving Yards (+650)
Addison is off to a phenomenal start in his rookie campaign. He has caught seven balls for 133 yards and two touchdowns and is currently the second-leading receiver on the team with the second-most passing yards in the league.
Addison has a huge opportunity to hit the century mark for the first time in his career this week against the Chargers. The Chargers have the league's worst pass defense through two weeks. This game is going to be a shootout, which means plenty of opportunities for everyone at Kirk Cousins' disposal.
There is always the fear that there are so many weapons on this Vikings offense, that Addison could be overshadowed. However, because there are so many weapons, it's going to be impossible for the Chargers to cover everyone.
Addison has seen 11 targets this season. If he sees five or six again on Sunday, then he could be in for a huge game. Especially when you consider he is averaging 19.0 yards per reception. At +650, this is a great long-shot play.
Kansas City Chiefs 41-50 Total Points (+500)
In the last two seasons, the Chiefs have scored 40 or more points eight times. While the offense has been far from impressive this season, their Week 3 matchup against the Chicago Bears provides them with a huge opportunity to start looking like the offense everyone expected at the beginning of the season.
Through two weeks, the Bears have allowed the Green Bay Packers and Tampa Bay Buccaneers to combine for 65 points. Their defense has allowed 387 yards per game, and they have been put in difficult positions because of the offense's four turnovers.
The Chiefs have only scored 37 points this season. However, this week, Patrick Mahomes will have all his weapons on the field, and he will be going against the worst defense he has faced this season by far. Look for a get-right game as the Bears' woes continue.
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Phil Wood is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Phil, check out his archive and follow him @Phil_Wood_Jr.