Gear up for another weekend of NFL action! Make sure to check in with BettingPros throughout the year for top picks and predictions for each and every NFL game. Our writers dive into their favorite picks and predictions for every remaining game on this Sunday’s NFL slate.
Go premium to view top prop bets based on Cover Probability, Expected Value & Star Rating >>
NFL Odds, Picks & Predictions
Dolphins vs. Chiefs
We get the first-ever NFL game in Germany, and it's an exciting one. Two of the better teams in the AFC battle in what could determine seeding in the playoffs. The Dolphins returned to form after the loss to Philadelphia and put up 30+ points for the fifth time last week. This all comes thanks to the dynamic ability of their air attack, as they're tied for the lead in passing yards after the catch per completion and second in completed air yards per pass attempt. The Chiefs are the team tied with the Dolphins in passing yards after the catch per completion, that's because the offensive line has been phenomenal, giving Mahomes an average of 2.6 seconds in the pocket, which is second. The Chiefs have a great pass defense, allowing the sixth-lowest completion rate, but the Dolphins are just as potent on the ground by leading the league in rushing yards per game. Both teams will battle each other on offense to win this game.
Pick: Over 50
-John Supowitz
Vikings vs. Falcons
Taylor Heinicke vs. Jaren Hall: the QB matchup of the century. I jumped on Minnesota +5 earlier in the week and still like the Vikings above a field goal for a couple of reasons. First off, we just saw the Atlanta defense give up four passing touchdowns to Will Levis in his NFL debut after there was QB uncertainty heading into the week. While the BYU product doesn't offer the same pedigree as Levis, the element of surprise favors Minnesota here. And while Heinicke raises the upside of Atlanta's offense, he also throws way more variance into the equation with the ability to throw his team out of a game. Last year, Heinicke committed the ninth-most turnover-worthy plays in just nine starts for Washington. Heinicke gets even more erratic against the blitz, and Minnesota happens to be the blitz-heaviest team in the league. Plus, Atlanta’s surrendered the sixth-most sacks in the league. More importantly against Atlanta is that Minnesota has been respectable against the run, ranking seventh in run defense EPA. That's critical against a Falcons offense that ranks fifth in rush attempts but 25th in rushing EPA. It feels like every Atlanta home game ends in a straight-up loss, or a last-second win by a field goal. I'll take my chances with a complete unknown in Hall on the road.
Pick: Vikings +3.5
-Matt Barbato
Cardinals vs. Browns
We really have no idea what the Cardinals offense is going to look like in this game. QB Josh Dobbs was traded to Minnesota and neither Kyler Murray or Clayton Tune has taken a snap in the NFL this season. Against this Cleveland defense, that’s a big deal. The dominant defensive line of the Browns will make the Cardinals uncomfortable all day. A 9.6% adjusted sack rate for Cleveland means whoever is at quarterback will be running for their lives. Of course Murray is known for his scramble ability but coming off of a knee injury, do we really know if he’ll be as effective? Who will be there to catch improvised passes with James Conner and Zach Ertz still out? Meanwhile Cleveland has their own quarterback questions. Mainly, is Deshaun Watson healthy enough to play. If he is, it may not make a huge difference as he hasn’t looked like the Deshaun Watson we knew in Houston. No matter who is playing quarterback for either team, this game is a clear under play.
Pick: Under 37.5
-Ryan Rodeman
Rams vs. Packers
Although he's been hit with the questionable tag, Matthew Stafford hasn't participated in practice this week, so we'll likely see Brett Rypien behind center. It will be interesting to see how they manage this offense when you have Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp, who are becoming one of the premiere wide receiver tandems. The internet has been a buzz about the future of Jordan Love. It has not been an excellent season for the first-year starter, as he's 22nd in QBR and 33rd in clean pocket percentage. It hasn't helped that Aaron Jones is having his worst season, with a career-low 4.2 yards per carry and two total touchdowns. The Rams can still trust their run, with Darrell Henderson and Royce Freeman being a solid run tandem, while Green Bay struggles to defend the ground game
Pick: Rams +3
-John Supowitz
Commanders vs. Patriots
Washington made two of the biggest moves at the trade deadline by moving DL Montez Sweat and Chase Young. This could do wonders to hamper a defensive front that was about middle of the pack in adjusted sack rate. They’re not a particularly good pass defense to begin with, ranking 30th in DVOA in that category. QB Mac Jones for New England has really had his moments where he struggled, but he also showed, against an injury-ravaged Buffalo defense a few weeks ago that he can make plays. In a game where Buffalo struggled to get pressure, Jones shined. 272 yards and 2 TDs helped him lead the Patriots to an upset win. Against this Commander defense, he can have similar success. On the other side of the ball, Washington has excelled at running the ball. However, New England has been very good at stopping the run, allowing one of the fewest yards per carry in the league. There aren’t many matchups in the league that will favor this Patriot roster, but they’ve found one this week in the Washington Commanders.
Pick: Patriots -2.5
-Ryan Rodeman
Bears vs. Saints
Would you rather back Tyson Bagent as a big road dog, or Derek Carr as a big home favorite? What a proposition. How about neither? Chicago's strengths don't really match up well against New Orleans. Believe it or not, the Bears actually rank 1st in rushing EPA. But New Orleans ranks 10th in that category against the run. And while Chicago is stout against the run, that hasn't been New Orleans' strength on offense. I'm expecting Carr and the Saints passing game to keep the momentum rolling against a Bears defense that ranks dead-last in pass defense EPA and second-to-last in pressure. The addition of Montez Sweat won't dramatically save this defense overnight. I'd actually lean the over in this game, but can't trust Bagent to stage many drives against a solid Saints defense. So instead, I'll isolate New Orleans and take their team total over.
Pick: Saints TT Over 24.5
-Matt Barbato
Seahawk vs. Ravens
The Seahawks and Ravens are both on winning streaks heading into this game. The Seahawks have earned two straight against the Cardinals and Browns, while the Ravens have added three consecutive wins against the Titans, Lions, and Cardinals. For both teams, it's been the defenses stepping up. The Ravens haven't allowed more than 17 points in four of their last five games, while the Seahawks have held their last three teams to no more than 20 points per game. Baltimore has one of the best secondaries in the NFL, while the Seahawks have a reliable pass rush and a better run defense. With Seattle's pass protection struggling and Baltimore's playmakers not giving incredible production, the Under looks like the play in this one.
Pick: Under 44.5
–Jason Radowitz
Buccaneers vs. Texans
While Tampa Bay began the season strong, the Buccaneers have dropped each of their last three games, scoring no more than 18 points in any of those games. In four of their last five, Tampa Bay also hasn't scored more than 18 points. The offense is struggled, mostly rushing the football. Without a balanced attack, it's hard to win football games consistently. On the other hand, the Texans have struggled to defend the run. They've also missed countless tackles. But they're playing at a high level in coverage, which should keep guys like Mike Evans and Chris Godwin in check. Meanwhile, C.J. Stroud has done well with Houston as a rookie. He's limiting turnovers and that's one of the best things you can do in the early stage of your career. He's giving Houston a chance to win every night because of it. Tampa Bay's run defense and secondary has been average at best.
Pick: Texans -3
–Jason Radowitz
Colts vs. Panthers
The Colts are terrific offensively with Gardner Minshew. They've scored at least 23 points in four of their last games. However, the defense has also allowed at least 37 points in each of the last three games. That's the issue. With Bryce Young and the Panthers starting to figure out their offense, the Colts aren't in a great position. The defense has look horrible in the secondary and the missed tackles are very apparent throughout each game. Meanwhile, the Panthers have also looked poor against the run and have missed even more tackles than the Colts. The secondary has also been just as bad. Both teams are very similar. The Colts just have a veteran quarterback and a better offensive line. Still, I like the Over in this game. The Panthers will get better offensively. This is a game where they can really improve.
Pick: Over 43.5
–Jason Radowitz
Giants vs. Raiders
On paper, the Raiders look better. But they haven't played better in the last few weeks. That's why Josh McDaniels was fired earlier this week. The Raiders have elected to start Aidan O'Connell at quarterback. He's a rookie thrower, who the Raiders really like. But the Giants pass rush has been sensational over the last couple of weeks and should at least create some chaos on the defensive end. That could include a couple of turnovers. On the other hand, Daniel Jones is expected to return for the Giants. He signed a massive extension in the offseason and many fans felt like he was just starting to figure it out in New York. He hasn't looked like himself early, but with the neck injuries behind him, Jones and the Giants' offense should have success rushing the football against Las Vegas.
Pick: Giants +2
–Jason Radowitz
Cowboys vs. Eagles
It is an important matchup in the NFC East, with these teams separated by one game in the loss column. The Eagles' offense continues to help them win games, and Jalen Hurts is playing well, but he has regressed by throwing for more interceptions, and his yards per completion and yards per carry have dropped. Some aspects of the Cowboys are not working as expected. The offense hasn't lived up to expectations, including Tony Pollard, who's running for under four yards per carry. Philly's biggest weakness has been the passing defense, but it's been much better recently, and they've allowed under 200 passing yards in four of their last six. As long as they make a few stops, I like their offense, even against this Dallas defense.
Pick: Eagles -3
-John Supowitz
Bills vs. Bengals
Sunday night we have a rematch of the AFC Divisional Round game that saw the Bengals defeat the Bills. A rough start to the year after a preseason injury for Joe Burrow had people wondering if the Bengals would even be able to make it back to the playoffs in 2023. Burrow has quieted those doubters with 785 yards and eight touchdowns during a three-game winning streak including wins over solid defenses in Seattle and San Francisco. Early season success has turned on its head for Buffalo who rode a solid performance last Thursday night to end a drought that saw them one play away from losing three consecutive games. A key reason for the slide was allowing opposing quarterbacks to have solid games against this pass-defense. Burrow and company should have a field day against a defense that allowed Mac Jones to look good. I typically try to stay away from backing a hot team and fading a cold team, but the matchup is too good. I’m backing the Bengals on Sunday night.
Pick: Bengals -1.5
-Ryan Rodeman
Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | RadioPublic | Breaker | Castbox | Pocket Casts
Whether you're new to sports betting or a betting pro, our Sports Betting Strategy and Advice page is for you. You can get started with our 101 section - including 10 Sports Betting Tips for Beginners - or head to more advanced strategy - like Key Numbers When Betting Against the Spread - to learn more.