Oregon is 7-1 and ranked No. 7 in the AP Poll, yet the Ducks are not getting the respect they deserve. After knocking off UCLA on the road as underdogs, they scored 52 on Colorado last week.
Meanwhile, the 4-4 Washington Huskies have played way below expectations this season. However, the Huskies are starting to turn the corner, winning their last two games by one score each. Their defense is steady, but the offense has been extremely quiet.
Can Oregon prove doubters wrong with a big win at Washington? Here are our picks and predictions for this Pac-12 battle.
- Opening Line: Oregon -6, O/U 51
- Current Line: Oregon -6.5, O/U 51.5
- Last meeting: Oregon 35, Washington 31 (October 19, 2019)
The Oregon Ducks are scoring 36.1 points per game while allowing 23.3 points per game. The offense is finding most of its success on the ground, gaining 204.9 yards per game behind a solid offensive line. Running back Travis Dye has rushed for 609 yards and 10 touchdowns on 106 attempts this season.
If Oregon wants to succeed against Washington’s defense, the run game is the way to go. Washington is allowing just 324.9 yards per game, but 178 yards have come against the run.
Meanwhile, Washington’s brilliant coverage has held teams to just 146.9 passing yards per game. An effective pass rush has also helped the Huskies stick around in games despite a subpar offense.
Behind Dylan Morris, Washington is scoring 22.8 points per game. Morris has thrown 11 touchdowns, but he’s also surrendered eight interceptions this season. While the run game has done some good things, the Huskies are only averaging 352.9 total yards per game this season.
It’s going to be difficult for Washington to keep away Oregon’s pass rush. The Ducks’ dangerous front line should have their way against Washington’s offensive line in the passing game.
- Huskies are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Huskies last five vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Huskies last four conference games.
Oregon should run the ball all over Washington in this game. I’m talking 200 or more yards on the ground. While the Huskies have a terrific secondary, Oregon will open up the passing game once the run gets moving.
The Ducks average over five touchdowns per game, so not even Washington will keep Oregon under three touchdowns.
Meanwhile, Washington’s defense is something special and should hold Oregon below five touchdowns. Plus, once the Huskies’ offense starts to trail, they’re going to drop back more. Furthermore, Washington’s offensive line will struggle to keep Oregon away from Morris.
I like Oregon to win this game, but I like the under even more.
Pick: Under 51.5 (-110)
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