The end of last weekend saw some impressive performances from many of Major League Baseball’s brightest stars. Aaron Judge turned in his third four-hit game of 2025, raising his batting average to .409. Kyle Schwarber hit two home runs in the series finale against the Guardians to tie Judge for the MLB lead, and Jacob deGrom had a season-high strikeout total, which was also his highest since 2013.
Which perennial All-Star makes our column today?
We ended last week with a profitable 2-1 day on Saturday, and are back to start the momentum for a new week with a trio of player prop wagers.
Read on for our top MLB player prop bets for Tuesday, May 13.
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Tuesday's Best MLB Player Prop Bets
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Kodai Senga Under 1.5 earned runs (-125)
Kodai Senga has not allowed an earned run in four of his seven starts while pitching to a microscopic 1.16 ERA. Some may few Senga as fortunate that he has pitched to a 0.61 ERA in three starts at Citi Field this season, given that he has allowed opponents to bat .250. But he has limited the damage and kept many of those hits from being extra-base hits, and a Pirates lineup that ranked 29th in the league in both batting average (.210) and wRC+ (70) in road games entering the week should not provide much resistance.
Senga is opposed by Mitch Keller, who has limited current Mets hitters to a .176/.261/.265 slash line in 74 combined at-bats. Thus, the Mets righty will have to be on his A-game if Keller’s career success against the Mets continues.
Bobby Witt Jr. Under 1.5 total bases (-115)
Houston’s Framber Valdez is one of the few pitchers who has dominated the head-to-head matchup with Bobby Witt Jr. thus far in his career. While Witt has two extra-base hits in his career against Valdez, those are the only two hits he has in 16 career at-bats in the matchup.
Witt has struck out five times with no walks in his career against Valdez. And while the southpaw’s strikeout rate is on pace to decline for the third straight season, he remains an elite ground-ball producer (87th percentile).
Valdez has allowed three hits in two of his last three starts while recorded 21-plus outs, one of which came against these same Royals. I like the value this Under provides, especially because Valdez is much tougher on right-handed batters (.218/.288/.381 slash line) than lefties (.286/.375/.429).
Shohei Ohtani to hit a home run (OFF)
It is common for leadoff hitters to not be big RBI producers, but that shouldn’t be the case for a player like Shohei Ohtani who hits for so much power and at the top of a loaded Dodgers lineup.
Ohtani has 11 home runs but just 16 RBIs this season. Per OptaSTATS, he is the first player to rank in the top five in the majors in total bases, extra-base hits, and home runs, but not be one of the top-90 RBI batters in May or later since 1920.
Ohtani should see some positive regression from an RBI standpoint soon, but as long as the bottom of the Dodgers lineup is not producing, I am backing Ohtani to take matters into his own hands by hitting another home run.
He begins with a matchup with Jeffrey Springs (he is 2-for-6 against him in his career), who has allowed a home run in six of his last seven starts. Springs also ranks in the sixth percentile in ground ball rate and the bottom half of all qualified pitchers in barrels, so Ohtani is a great value play to go deep for the third time in five games.
Mike Spector is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @MikeSpector01.