There is an exciting slate of WNBA games on Friday night. Four matchups highlight some of the most intriguing teams in the league. Let's take a look at some of those matchups for our best WNBA picks for Friday night.
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Friday’s Best WNBA Picks & Predictions
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
Los Angeles Sparks at Chicago Sky
There will be possessions galore when the Sparks and Sky match up on Friday night. These two teams sit atop the WNBA leaderboards in possessions per game, and their records for going over the total reflect that.
Combined, these two are 33-14 to the over, and each is 8-2 in their last 10. The trends don't stop there. Los Angeles is 9-2 to the over on the road while Chicago boasts an 8-3 record at home.
These teams tend to score a lot when they play each other. All their games last season and this season, including a 102-87 Sparks win last week, have gone over. We saw a total of 147 shots attempted by the two teams, which is always a recipe for over success.
These are two teams near the bottom of the league in defensive rating and at the top for pace. When they're not getting field goals up, both rank in the top half of the league in free throws/field-goal attempts and, defensively, are in the bottom half of the league in the same stat. This is a recipe for an over, and despite the sportsbooks baking that into a lofty number, there is still value.
Pick: Over 185.5 Points (-108)
Seattle Storm at Indiana Fever
These teams have already met once this season when Indiana pulled off an 89-78 win at home. However, that was an Indiana team mired in a bit of a shooting slump. The Fever shot just 23.8% from deep in that game despite now having a near league-best 37% three-point rate. The Storm has had the best three-point defense in the league, but even that performance was an outlier.
Indiana has also been a cover machine in their wins. Dating back over a month to a June 13th matchup with Connecticut, the Fever have covered in seven consecutive straight up (SU) victories. If you like the Fever to win, you should be looking for the Fever to cover.
One reason to be squeamish is that 8.5 is a big number. However, the Seattle offense is anemic, with a 48.9% effective field-goal rate that ranks among the worst in the league, along with a high turnover rate and low offensive rebounding rate. Indiana excels at defensive rebounding and won't allow the Storm to get many second chances on what is sure to be a lot of misses.
Indiana has been the better team all year, and after a hot start to the month of June, things have cooled off with a recent 5-5 SU run over their last 10 games. This is a really good opportunity for them to get right against a team that they match up well with defensively and should still have offensive success against.
I like the Fever to cover in a low-scoring affair that is sure to go under.
Picks: Fever -9.5 (-108) & Under 176.5 Points (-112)
