We have two WNBA Commissioner's Cup on the schedule today. Despite the small slate, there is no shortage of options to consider. Here are some of our favorite WNBA player props for Friday, June 12th.
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Friday's Best WNBA Player Props & Bets
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Marina Mabrey Under 2.5 Made Three-Pointers (-108)
The veteran guard is on the road this evening to take on the Washington Mystics. Marina Mabrey hasn't been as sharp from beyond the perimeter recently, and we feel there's a small edge in our favor that can be exploited. The Mystics elect to stay up on pick-and-rolls for high-volume shooters, which would force Mabrey to either drive to the basket or pass the ball off.
Mabrey has failed to amass three or more three-pointers in two out of the last three games. She is averaging 2.8 three-point baskets on 8.3 attempts each contest. When playing on the road, these numbers regress to 2.3 makes from deep on 7.5 attempts.
The Tempo guard is shooting 31.1% from above the perimeter on the road. Mabrey performs at a much higher level when at home, connecting on 3.3 three-pointers per game on 37% shooting in Toronto.
Mabrey is shooting 28.8% from three-point distance over the last three contests, and her efficiency takes a hit when on the road. She is a much better option at home, so we will bet on the under.
Nyara Sabally 16+ Points + Rebounds (-131)
We have been hammering down on this play over the last week, and it continues to pay off. The line has dropped to 16, and it's simply too solid an option to pass up on at the moment. Nyara Sabally is on an offensive surge, so we feel it is best to ride the hot hand once again - especially with a two-point line reduction.
Sabally is averaging 15.6 points and 5.4 boards on 27.6 minutes per game over the last five contests. Sabally's scoring is clicking through the previous five games, driven by a sensational display of efficiency at the rim. The Tempo forward is connecting on 58% of her shots on 9.6 field-goal attempts per game, and she is shooting 40% from beyond the arc.
The positive facets make it difficult to assume that Sabally will not tally 16+ combined points + rebounds in this contest. The playing time is up, the efficiency is red-hot at the moment and Sabally has pulled down at least six rebounds in three of the last four games.
Kiki Iriafen Under 13.5 Points (-132)
The Mystics center is questionable for this contest due to an ankle injury. Make sure to check the BettingPros App before tip-off for up-to-date information regarding starting lineups and injury status. All signs point to Kiki Iriafen playing tonight, but the ankle injury could limit mobility when trying to explode to the rim or out of short pick-and-roll sets.
Unfortunately, the line has already dropped to 13.5 points (you may still be able to find it at 14.5). What piques our interest is that the juice is still over -130 on the under, even with the line change. The return is a tad underwhelming - there's no disputing that. Having said that, oddsmakers wouldn't be so quick to drop a juiced-up tag on a points line that has already regressed.
Toronto may not possess the most length on its frontcourt, yet its physicality more than makes up for the height disparity. Iriafen will more than likely be forced into crowded lanes rather than finding open space to find easy looks at the basket.
Fewer shot opportunities usually correlate to lower scoring numbers. Iriagen has gone under 13.5 points in three out of the five previous games.
Kayla Thornton Under 10.5 Points (-106)
This selection will most likely be our sweatiest option of the evening. Eleven points is an extremely low threshold, given the opponent and the bump in playing time over the previous two contests. Having said that, Kayla Thornton is less aggressive from beyond the arc when playing on the road. Which is why we side with the under.
Thornton is averaging 9.5 points and 3.7 rebounds over her last two road games. The Valkyries forward is shooting a dreadful 31% from the field and 33% from above the perimeter over that span. Thornton is averaging 2.5 field goals in the previous two road matchups.
Thornton has failed to accumulate 11 points in five out of her last eight games. She has scored fewer than 11 points in four out of the last five games on the road. It's going to be a nail-biter for sure. Regardless of the tight window of success, Thornton looks to be on the wrong side of 10.5 points tonight.
Kayla Thornton Under 18.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-129)
It only makes logical sense to double down on Thornton having an off night. The oddsmakers are firmly behind the notion that the veteran forward will record fewer than 19 combined points + rebounds + assists - and we have to agree with them. Thornton hasn't been aggressive or efficient in regard to scoring when playing on the road, and the assists barely move the needle.
Thornton is doing an exceptional job on the glass through the last four road games, averaging 5.3 boards over the previous five games. However, even factoring in rebounds, Thornton is still far below the threshold of 19 combined points + rebounds + assists.
The Valkyries forward is averaging 10 points, 5.3 rebounds and 0.5 assists through the last four games away from the Bay Area. Thornton finished with fewer than 19 combined points + rebounds + assists in eight of her last 10 games.
Enjoy the games this evening. Good luck with your picks.
