2023 US Open Odds, Picks & Predictions: Carlos Alcaraz

Amid the dominance of the "Big Three" in men's tennis between Novak Djokovic, Roger Federer, and Rafael Nadal from the mid-2000's on, the US Open was always considered the most wide open of the four Grand Slams. Since 2009, six different men have claimed their first Grand Slam title at the US Open, with four of those (Juan Martin del Potro- 2009, Marin Cilic- 2014, Dominic Thiem- 2020, Daniil Medvedev- 2021) having their only major title coming from Flushing Meadows.

Carlos Alcaraz in 2022 made it three consecutive years where a first-time Grand Slam champion was crowned at the US Open, but some skeptics will say the door was opened much wider for him as Novak Djokovic was ineligible to participate because of his vaccination status. Thus, an aging Rafael Nadal was the only member of the "Big Three" in last year's event, as we got a glimpse of the future of men's tennis with Alcaraz, Frances Tiafoe, Casper Ruud, and Karen Khachanov all making the semifinals. The top two seeds in last year's event, Medvedev and Nadal, each lost in the fourth round and shockingly failed to make the quarterfinals.

With Djokovic back in the field, will this year's version of the US Open have more of a chalky feel, with an inevitable collision course between him and Alcaraz in the final? Or will a first-time Grand Slam winner capture the title for the fourth consecutive year?

2023 US Open Best Bets & Picks: Carlos Alcaraz

Here is our betting outlook for 2023 US Open.

2023 US Open Betting Predictions

Carlos Alcaraz has played a lot of tennis this year, and made the most of those opportunities, with a 53-6 record in 2023 and winning half of his 12 career titles this season. Alcaraz was denied his first Cincinnati title by Novak Djokovic in a grueling three-set classic that lasted nearly four hours, and Alcaraz needs to not let that tough loss seep into this Grand Slam, as he had a 7-5, 4-2 lead over Djokovic in that match. Alcaraz's 67 converted break points in Grand Slam matches this year is second only to Djokovic's 100. The tennis world waits in anticipation for a possible fifth head-to-head meeting between the two best players in the world in the US Open finals.

2023 US Open Betting Advice & Picks

On one hand, many bettors will argue both Alcaraz's +190 odds and Djokovic's +125 odds are too short to be backed pre-tournament. However, the other side of the argument is that the two are head and shoulders above the rest of the world at the moment, but we give the slight futures edge to Djokovic, given that Alcaraz's path with Jannik Sinner and Alexander Zverev in his quarter and a tough potential semifinal matchup against Daniil Medvedev is more difficult than what Djokovic will face.

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