2025 Kentucky Derby: Citizen Bull Odds, Picks & Predictions

The Kentucky Derby is one of the most prestigious and highly anticipated events in the world of horse racing. Held annually on the first Saturday in May, the Kentucky Derby attracts horse racing enthusiasts from all over the world. The Derby is a 1 1/4 mile race for three-year-old thoroughbreds and is often referred to as “the most exciting two minutes in sports.” Let's take a look at the odds for one of the horses competing in the 150th Run for the Roses: Citizen Bull.

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2025 Kentucky Derby Profile & Predictions: Citizen Bull

Name: Citizen Bull
Post Position: 1
Trainer: Bob Baffert
Jockey: Martin Garcia
Owners: SF Racing LLC, Starlight Racing, Madaket Stables LLC, Stonestreet Stables LLC, Dianne Bashor, Determined Stables, Robert E. Masterson, Tom J. Ryan, Waves Edge Capital LLC, Catherine Donovan
Breeder: Robert & Lawana Low (Kentucky)
Sire: Into Mischief
Dam: No Joke (by Distorted Humor)
Color: Bay
Career Record: 6 starts: 4 wins, 0 seconds, 1 third
Earnings: $1,451,000
Top Beyer Speed Figure: 98 (2025 Robert B. Lewis Stakes)
Top Equibase Speed Figure: 107
Derby Qualifying Points: 71.25 (Ranked 10th)

Citizen Bull's Derby chances looked a lot better before he ran an uninspired Santa Anita Derby. On top of that CB has now drawn the dreaded rail and will have no choice but to fire out of the gate and try for the early lead. If he can't get it, he will likely be trapped between the rail and the pack.

All that said, by all accounts CB is training well and has impressed with his breezes this week. He is the reigning 2-year old champ for a reason and he will try to become the first such champion to win the Derby since Nyquist in 2016.

The Derby will tell us if Baffert was right about CB being in less than ideal shape at Santa Anita, or if he just isn't the 3-year old we thought he would be. I think there is too much working against him with positioning for him to win, it would take a perfect trip and I don't know if Martin Garcia can find it.

No horse has won from Post 1 since Ferdinand in 1986 and in the last 25 years only one horse from Post 1 has even finished as high as thid. Pass.

– Luke Monaldo

Bet: Pass

Post	Horse	Trainer Name	Jockey Name	Odds
1	Citizen Bull	Bob Baffert	Martin Garcia	20-1
2	Neoequos	Saffie Joseph Jr.	Flavien Prat	30-1
3	Final Gambit	Brad H. Cox	Luan Machado	30-1
4	~~Rodriguez~~	~~Bob Baffert~~	~~Mike E. Smith~~	~~12-1~~
5	American Promise	D. Wayne Lukas	Nik Juarez	30-1
6	Admire Daytona	Yukihiro Kato	Christophe Lemaire	30-1
7	Luxor Cafe	Noriyuki Hori	João Moreira	15-1
8	Journalism	Michael W. McCarthy	Umberto Rispoli	3-1
9	Burnham Square	Ian R. Wilkes	Brian Hernandez Jr.	12-1
10	Grande	Todd A. Pletcher	John R. Velazquez	20-1
11	Flying Mohawk	Whit Beckman	Joe Ramos	30-1
12	East Avenue	Brendan P. Walsh	Manny Franco	20-1
13	Publisher	Steven M. Asmussen	Irad Ortiz Jr.	20-1
14	Tiztastic	Steven M. Asmussen	Joel Rosario	20-1
15	Render Judgement	Kenneth G. McPeek	Julien Leparoux	30-1
16	Coal Battle	Lonnie Briley	Juan Vargas	30-1
17	Sandman	Mark E. Casse	José Ortiz	6-1
18	Sovereignty	William I. Mott	Junior Alvarado	5-1
19	Chunk of Gold	Ethan West	Jareth Loveberry	30-1
20	Owen Almighty	Brian A. Lynch	Javier Castellano	30-1
21 (AE)	Baeza	John Shirreffs	Flavien Prat	12-1

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