We’re headed to Week 16 of the NFL season, and I’ve added the three best NFL bets using our premium betting systems. Some of these systems have been printing money all year. That said, let’s get right to it.
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Week 16’s Best NFL Bets & Trends Picks
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Chris Olave Receptions Overs Angle
The “Chris Olave Receptions Over Angle” system looks at his receptions over as a favorite. The Saints are rarely favorites. But this week, against the Jets, the Saints are expected to win. In fact, the Saints have only been favorites twice this season, and Chris Olave had at least six receptions in each of those games.
Olave has also added at least six receptions in 57% of games this season. He had nine targets in his last game against Carolina, which means he’s clearly comfortable with rookie quarterback Tyler Shough. In addition, the Jets’ defense is so depleted that they fired their defensive coordinator. Plus, multiple stars were traded from the defense at the trade deadline. There’s no hope with this Jets team.
In the two games where the Saints were favorites, Olave has helped earn a 94% return on investment (ROI) this season. I’d like to think he can add another reception over against the Jets this week as the No. 1 WR on a team favored to win.
Pick: Chris Olave Over 5.5 Receptions (+102)
Aaron Rodgers Passing Yds Unders
In this stage of his career, it’s a solid idea to take the under on Aaron Rodgers passing yard props. Ultimately, over his last 14 games, Rodgers has gone under 230.5 passing yards in nine of them. Bettors who took the under on Rodgers in these spots would be up 2.89 units with a 20.64% ROI. That’s also a 64.29% win rate on -114.07 odds.
Rodgers has thrown at least 230.5 passing yards in just 31% of games this season. He’s also hit this line in just one of his last five games. He’s averaged 4.5 poor passes per game over the last 10 games and hasn’t had more than 55 air yards in five of his previous six games.
This week, Rodgers will battle the Detroit Lions, who rank 12th in pass completions and second in yards after the catch. If there are no air yards and no yards after the catch, it’ll make it hard for Rodgers to rack up the passing yards.
Take his under using this betting system.
Pick: Aaron Rodgers Under 230.5 Passing Yards (-114)
James Cook Rushing Yards Overs when Favored
The “James Cook Rushing Yards Overs when Favored” system has hit 66.67% of the time. It’s gone 8-4 to earn a 24.08% ROI and 2.89 units of profit at an average price of -116.25 odds.
This week, Cook’s line is 86.5 rushing yards against the Cleveland Browns. The Browns rank 26th in rush attempts, 23rd in longest rush allowed and 27th in longest rushing touchdown allowed. Ultimately, the Browns have a solid defense, but struggle to stay consistent. They’ll give up a couple of big plays on the ground, which ruins all the other numbers.
Meanwhile, Cook has recorded around 20 rush attempts per game over the last 10 games and has averaged over 101 yards per game in that stretch. He’s averaged 5.2 yards per carry and has averaged a longest rush of 23.2 yards over the last 10 games. If Cook breaks out for a couple of significant gains and adds more than 20 carries, he’ll likely reach at least 87 rushing yards.
